Will Wendy's Baconator cost more than $X in July 2026? [ resolves 2026-08-09 (17D) ]
kalshi: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 7 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ $8.66 | 2026-08-09 | 96.0% | $1 | $4.4K | C | KXWENBACONAT….66 | ||
| ≥ $8.67 | 2026-08-09 | 83.0% | — | $352 | C | KXWENBACONAT….67 | ||
| ≥ $8.68 | 2026-08-09 | 62.0% | — | $60 | C | KXWENBACONAT….68 | ||
| ≥ $8.69 | 2026-08-09 | 46.0% | — | $34 | C | KXWENBACONAT….69 | ||
| ≥ $8.7 | 2026-08-09 | 33.0% | — | $229 | C | KXWENBACONAT….70 | ||
| ≥ $8.71 | 2026-08-09 | 14.0% | — | $5 | C | KXWENBACONAT….71 | ||
| ≥ $8.72 | 2026-08-09 | 8.0% | — | $3 | C | KXWENBACONAT….72 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If average U.S. price of a Wendy's Baconator for July 2026 is at least $8.66, then the market resolves to Yes.
For purposes of this market, the “average U.S. price of a Wendy's Baconator” means the first July 2026 value reported by Spice Data for “Wendy's Baconator Price” / “Price (USD)”. Corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome.
This market and these products have not been endorsed by The Wendy’s Company, Wendy’s International, LLC, Quality Is Our Recipe, LLC, or their affiliates. Any references to Wendy’s, Wendy’s Baconator, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between The Wendy’s Company, Wendy’s International, LLC, Quality Is Our Recipe, LLC, or their affiliates and Kalshi.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation" ↗ sources (3) · single authority
- Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation venue-listed
- Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index venue-listed
- Spice Data source of record from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxwenbaconator-26aug02/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxwenbaconator-26aug02 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxwenbaconator-26aug02") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-WM8M1GC9H3",
"slug": "kxwenbaconator-26aug02",
"question": "Will Wendy's Baconator cost more than $X in July 2026?",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"fast-food-pricing",
"wendy's",
"commodity-prices",
"us-inflation",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 7,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 5039,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_committed_secondhand"
],
"resolution_source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Spice Data",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
"url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
"url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Spice Data",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}