Will another White House Correspondents' Dinner be held in 2026? [ resolved 2026-07-27 ]
Will another White House Correspondents' Dinner being held in 2026 be confirmed?
kalshi: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
markets · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 1 market
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will another White House Correspondents' Dinner being held in 2026 be confirmed | 2026-07-27 | 100.0% | — | $15K | C | KXWHCA2-26 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Semafor | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If another White House Correspondents' Dinner being held in 2026 is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Semafor" sources (16)
Semafor venue-listed ABC venue-listed Bloomberg venue-listed NBC venue-listed The Washington Post venue-listed Associated Press venue-listed The Wall Street Journal venue-listed Fox News venue-listed Reuters venue-listed The Information venue-listed Politico venue-listed Axios venue-listed MSNBC venue-listed CNN venue-listed the New York Times venue-listed CBS venue-listed
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | Will another White House Correspondents' Dinner being held in 2026 be confirmed? | kalshi | 2026-07-27 | 100% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (1 resolved market). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxwhca2-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxwhca2-26 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxwhca2-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-43W1LK5S76",
"slug": "kxwhca2-26",
"question": "Will another White House Correspondents' Dinner be held in 2026?",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"white-house-correspondents-dinner",
"annual-event",
"media-politics",
"2026-event",
"washington-dc"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 1,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 15361,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 77,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": "Semafor",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Semafor",
"url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "ABC",
"url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Bloomberg",
"url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "NBC",
"url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Washington Post",
"url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Associated Press",
"url": "https://apnews.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Wall Street Journal",
"url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Fox News",
"url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Reuters",
"url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Information",
"url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Politico",
"url": "https://www.politico.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Axios",
"url": "https://www.axios.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "MSNBC",
"url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CNN",
"url": "https://www.cnn.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "the New York Times",
"url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CBS",
"url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}