CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,450 EVENTS / ~20,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will the sitting US President attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner? [ resolves 2026-07-25 (19D) ]

kalshi: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 15 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Donald Trump 2026-07-25 99.0%
$31K
C KXWHCDATTEND…DJT
Bari Weiss 2026-07-25 99.0%
$2.3K
C KXWHCDATTEND…WEI
JD Vance 2026-07-25 99.0%
$18K
C KXWHCDATTEND…VAN
Bret Baier 2026-07-25 99.0%
$6.3K
C KXWHCDATTEND…BAI
Marco Rubio 2026-07-25 98.0%
$48K
C KXWHCDATTEND…RUB
Mike Johnson 2026-07-25 98.0%
$11K
C KXWHCDATTEND…JOH
Stephen Miller 2026-07-25 94.0%
$8.7K
C KXWHCDATTEND…MIL
Pete Hegseth 2026-07-25 93.0%
$16K
C KXWHCDATTEND…HEG
Susie Wiles 2026-07-25 68.0%
$1.2K
C KXWHCDATTEND…WIL
Joe Scarborough 2026-07-25 49.0%
$736
C KXWHCDATTEND…SCA
George Stephanopoulos 2026-07-25 27.0%
$1.8K
C KXWHCDATTEND…STE
John Thune 2026-07-25 20.0%
$1 $341
C KXWHCDATTEND…THU
Sean Hannity 2026-07-25 19.0%
$1.5K
C KXWHCDATTEND…HAN
Ivanka Trump 2026-07-25 4.0%
$153
C KXWHCDATTEND…TRU
Jake Tapper 2026-07-25 1.0%
$50
C KXWHCDATTEND…TAP
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff USA Today not provided Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 15 markets · share this text
If Donald Trump attends the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner, then the market resolves to Yes. Attendance is confirmed if the person is reported present at the event by any Source Agency, including social media posts by the person themselves. Brief appearances or partial attendance count as attendance.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "USA Today"
sources (17)
resolution history
outcome market venue resolved final price
YES Will Donald Trump attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner? kalshi 2026-07-25 99%
PENDING Will Pete Hegseth attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner? kalshi 2026-07-25 93%
YES Will Bari Weiss attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner? kalshi 2026-07-25 99%
NO Will Jake Tapper attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner? kalshi 2026-07-25 1%
YES Will JD Vance attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner? kalshi 2026-07-25 99%
PENDING Will Stephen Miller attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner? kalshi 2026-07-25 94%
YES Will Marco Rubio attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner? kalshi 2026-07-25 98%
YES Will Bret Baier attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner? kalshi 2026-07-25 99%
YES Will Mike Johnson attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner? kalshi 2026-07-25 98%
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (9 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxwhcdattend-26/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxwhcdattend-26
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxwhcdattend-26")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-J65WW2Z339",
  "slug": "kxwhcdattend-26",
  "question": "Will the sitting US President attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "white-house-correspondents-dinner",
    "2026-event",
    "political-attendance",
    "washington-dc",
    "celebrity-politics"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 15,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 147905,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 58,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
    "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
  ],
  "resolution_source": "USA Today",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.usatoday.com/",
  "source_status": "no_committed_source",
  "source_of_record": null,
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "USA Today",
      "url": "https://www.usatoday.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "ABC",
      "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Fox News",
      "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "MSNBC",
      "url": "https://www.msnbc.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
      "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Semafor",
      "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The Information",
      "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "CBS",
      "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Vogue",
      "url": "https://www.vogue.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Axios",
      "url": "https://www.axios.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "CNN",
      "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Reuters",
      "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Billboard",
      "url": "https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The New York Times",
      "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The Washington Post",
      "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "the Associated Press",
      "url": "https://apnews.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Politico",
      "url": "https://www.politico.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →