Will someone attend a White House Press Briefing in 2026? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (150D) ]
kalshi: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 12 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Bessent | 2027-01-01 | 99.0% | — | $3.3K | C | KXWHPRESSBRI…BES | ||
| Pete Hegseth | 2027-01-01 | 99.0% | — | $7.7K | C | KXWHPRESSBRI…HEG | ||
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | 2027-01-01 | 53.0% | — | $1.5K | C | KXWHPRESSBRI…RFK | ||
| Benny Johnson | 2027-01-01 | 46.0% | — | $2.9K | C | KXWHPRESSBRI…JOH | ||
| Tim Pool | 2027-01-01 | 39.0% | — | $8.4K | C | KXWHPRESSBRI…POO | ||
| Dan Bongino | 2027-01-01 | 23.0% | — | $1.4K | C | KXWHPRESSBRI…BON | ||
| Ben Shapiro | 2027-01-01 | 22.0% | — | $928 | C | KXWHPRESSBRI…SHA | ||
| Matt Walsh | 2027-01-01 | 22.0% | — | $661 | C | KXWHPRESSBRI…WAL | ||
| Tucker Carlson | 2027-01-01 | 14.0% | — | $129 | C | KXWHPRESSBRI…CAR | ||
| Candace Owens | 2027-01-01 | 12.0% | — | $51 | C | KXWHPRESSBRI…OWE | ||
| Tulsi Gabbard | 2027-01-01 | 9.9% | — | $529 | C | KXWHPRESSBRI…GAB | ||
| JD Vance | 2027-01-01 | 0.0% | — | — | C | KXWHPRESSBRI…JDV |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | USA Today | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Ben Shapiro attends any White House press briefing which takes place in the James S. Brady Press Briefing Room after Issuance and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Attendance is confirmed if the person is reported present at the event by any Source Agency, including social media posts by the person themselves. Brief appearances or partial attendance count as attendance.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "USA Today" sources (17)
USA Today venue-listed ABC venue-listed Fox News venue-listed MSNBC venue-listed The Wall Street Journal venue-listed Semafor venue-listed The Information venue-listed CBS venue-listed Vogue venue-listed Axios venue-listed CNN venue-listed Reuters venue-listed Billboard venue-listed The New York Times venue-listed The Washington Post venue-listed the Associated Press venue-listed Politico venue-listed
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxwhpressbriefing/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxwhpressbriefing |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxwhpressbriefing") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-5ZZS438MW0",
"slug": "kxwhpressbriefing",
"question": "Will someone attend a White House Press Briefing in 2026?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"white-house-press-briefing",
"media-attendance",
"us-politics-2026",
"public-figures",
"press-corps"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 12,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 27561,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 58,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": "USA Today",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.usatoday.com/",
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "USA Today",
"url": "https://www.usatoday.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "ABC",
"url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Fox News",
"url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "MSNBC",
"url": "https://www.msnbc.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Wall Street Journal",
"url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Semafor",
"url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Information",
"url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CBS",
"url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Vogue",
"url": "https://www.vogue.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Axios",
"url": "https://www.axios.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CNN",
"url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Reuters",
"url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Billboard",
"url": "https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The New York Times",
"url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Washington Post",
"url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "the Associated Press",
"url": "https://apnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Politico",
"url": "https://www.politico.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}