Will someone visit the White House in 2026? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (179D) ]

kalshi: [B] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›

distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot

kalshi 31 markets

market	resolves	P(YES)	vol (24h)	vol (cum)	RCG	venue id
Jeff Bezos	2027-01-01	99.8%	—	$2.5K	B	`KXWHVISIT-27-JBEZ`
Joe Rogan	2027-01-01	99.5%	—	$32K	B	`KXWHVISIT-27-JROG`
Dario Amodei	2027-01-01	99.1%	—	$6.6K	B	`KXWHVISIT-27-DAMO`
Sam Altman	2027-01-01	99.0%	—	$12K	B	`KXWHVISIT-27-SAMA`
Jensen Huang	2027-01-01	97.3%	—	$2.1K	B	`KXWHVISIT-27-JHUA`
Mark Zuckerberg	2027-01-01	89.0%	$0	$2.2K	B	`KXWHVISIT-27-MZUC`
Xi Jinping	2027-01-01	87.0%	—	$24K	B	`KXWHVISIT-27-XJIN`
Elon Musk	2027-01-01	83.0%	$25	$3.8K	B	`KXWHVISIT-27-EMUS`
Mark Carney	2027-01-01	71.0%	—	$3.1K	B	`KXWHVISIT-27-MCAR`
Abdel Fattah al-Sisi	2027-01-01	63.0%	—	$2.4K	B	`KXWHVISIT-27-AALS`
Hakeem Jeffries	2027-01-01	62.0%	—	$3.1K	B	`KXWHVISIT-27-HJEF`
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	2027-01-01	61.0%	—	$1.5K	B	`KXWHVISIT-27-VZEL`
Joseph Aoun	2027-01-01	53.0%	$132	$2.0K	B	`KXWHVISIT-27…AOU`
Claudia Sheinbaum	2027-01-01	48.0%	$1	$1.5K	B	`KXWHVISIT-27-CSHE`
John Ternus	2027-01-01	38.0%	—	$4.9K	B	`KXWHVISIT-27-JTER`
Gavin Newsom	2027-01-01	23.0%	—	$971	B	`KXWHVISIT-27-GNEW`
Anutin Charnvirakul	2027-01-01	22.0%	—	$872	B	`KXWHVISIT-27-ACHA`
Reza Pahlavi	2027-01-01	22.0%	—	$2.8K	B	`KXWHVISIT-27-RPAH`
Eric Adams	2027-01-01	21.0%	—	$507	B	`KXWHVISIT-27-EADA`
Abiy Ahmed	2027-01-01	21.0%	—	$1.3K	B	`KXWHVISIT-27-AAHM`
Jaxson Dart	2027-01-01	21.0%	—	$20	B	`KXWHVISIT-27-JDAR`
Bola Ahmed Tinubu	2027-01-01	19.0%	—	$44	B	`KXWHVISIT-27-BTIN`
Bill Maher	2027-01-01	18.0%	—	$310	B	`KXWHVISIT-27-BMAH`
Hun Manet	2027-01-01	16.0%	—	$97	B	`KXWHVISIT-27-HMAN`
Cristiano Ronaldo	2027-01-01	15.0%	$3	$348	B	`KXWHVISIT-27-CRON`
Vladimir Putin	2027-01-01	10.0%	$1	$225	B	`KXWHVISIT-27-VPUT`
Jerome Powell	2027-01-01	8.7%	—	$77	B	`KXWHVISIT-27-JPOW`
Marjorie Taylor Greene	2027-01-01	8.3%	$0	$271	B	`KXWHVISIT-27-MTG`
Barack Obama	2027-01-01	8.2%	—	$127	B	`KXWHVISIT-27-OBAM`
Joe Biden	2027-01-01	3.1%	$0	$44	B	`KXWHVISIT-27-JBID`
Pope Leo XIV	2027-01-01	2.1%	—	$98	B	`KXWHVISIT-27-PLEO`

resolution architecture

venue	proposer	source	citation	arbitration	class	analyst notes
kalshi	`Exchange Staff`	ABC	not provided	`Kalshi Staff`	`Other`	—

verbatim rules

kalshi 31 markets · share this text

If Eric Adams visits the White House after Dec 9, 2025 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This means a physical visit to any of: The Executive Residence, the West Wing, the East Wing, the Eisenhower Executive Office Building, and all gardens, lawns, and outdoor spaces within the secured perimeter of the White House, including the Rose Garden and the South Lawn. The announcement must occur after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 and so must the actual visit.

platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "ABC"

sources (15) · single authority

ABC venue-listed
AP venue-listed
Axios venue-listed
Bloomberg venue-listed
CNN venue-listed
Fox News venue-listed
MSNBC venue-listed
NBC venue-listed
Office of the Presidency source of record venue-listed
Semafor venue-listed
The Information venue-listed
The New York Times venue-listed
The Wall Street Journal venue-listed
The Washington Post venue-listed
White House venue-listed

resolution history

outcome	market	venue	resolved	final price
YES	Will Jeff Bezos visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	kalshi	`2027-01-01`	`100%`
YES	Will Jensen Huang visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	kalshi	`2027-01-01`	`97%`
YES	Will Joe Rogan visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	kalshi	`2027-01-01`	`100%`
YES	Will Dario Amodei visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	kalshi	`2027-01-01`	`99%`
YES	Will Sam Altman visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	kalshi	`2027-01-01`	`99%`

Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (5 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.

recent wire items

monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTML	browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD `@type: Dataset`)	`https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxwhvisit-27/`
JSON	REST API for developers	`https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxwhvisit-27`
MCP	agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)	`clearmarket.get_event("kxwhvisit-27")`
AGENT	AI crawler discovery index	`/llms.txt`

 Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
  raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
 {
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-MS6NQYGFQ9",
  "slug": "kxwhvisit-27",
  "question": "Will someone visit the White House in 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "white-house-visits",
    "us-politics",
    "political-figures",
    "2027-resolution",
    "international-diplomacy"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 31,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 111942,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
  "rcg_score": 75,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "ABC",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "Office of the Presidency",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "ABC",
      "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "AP",
      "url": "https://apnews.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Axios",
      "url": "https://www.axios.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Bloomberg",
      "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "CNN",
      "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Fox News",
      "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "MSNBC",
      "url": "https://www.msnbc.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "NBC",
      "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Office of the Presidency",
      "url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/executive-office-of-the-president/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Semafor",
      "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The Information",
      "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The New York Times",
      "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
      "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The Washington Post",
      "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "White House",
      "url": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}

snapshot 2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →