Which wildlife species will be on the Bank of England banknote shortlist? [ resolved 2026-06-06 ]
kalshi: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 8 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hedgehog | 2026-06-06 | 100.0% | — | $6.3K | C | KXWILDSHT-26-HED | ||
| Puffin | 2026-06-06 | 100.0% | — | $4.3K | C | KXWILDSHT-26-PUF | ||
| Kingfisher | 2026-06-06 | 100.0% | — | $1.9K | C | KXWILDSHT-26-KNG | ||
| Fox | 2026-06-06 | 100.0% | — | $3.3K | C | KXWILDSHT-26-FOX | ||
| Red squirrel | 2026-06-06 | 0.0% | — | $8.1K | C | KXWILDSHT-26-RED | ||
| Robin | 2026-06-06 | 0.0% | — | $1.7K | C | KXWILDSHT-26-ROB | ||
| Otter | 2026-06-06 | 0.0% | — | $4.9K | C | KXWILDSHT-26-OTT | ||
| Badger | 2026-06-06 | 0.0% | — | $8.0K | C | KXWILDSHT-26-BAD |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Semafor | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the inclusion of hedgehog on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist for the next series of banknotes is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Semafor" resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will the inclusion of red squirrel on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed? | kalshi | 2026-06-06 | 0% |
| NO | Will the inclusion of robin on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed? | kalshi | 2026-06-06 | 0% |
| NO | Will the inclusion of otter on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed? | kalshi | 2026-06-06 | 0% |
| NO | Will the inclusion of badger on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed? | kalshi | 2026-06-06 | 0% |
| YES | Will the inclusion of fox on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed? | kalshi | 2026-06-06 | 100% |
| YES | Will the inclusion of kingfisher on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed? | kalshi | 2026-06-06 | 100% |
| YES | Will the inclusion of puffin on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed? | kalshi | 2026-06-06 | 100% |
| YES | Will the inclusion of hedgehog on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed? | kalshi | 2026-06-06 | 100% |
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (8 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxwildsht-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxwildsht-26 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxwildsht-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-Q8XXXKXM08",
"slug": "kxwildsht-26",
"question": "Which wildlife species will be on the Bank of England banknote shortlist?",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"bank-of-england",
"wildlife-design",
"currency-policy",
"uk-2026",
"species-selection"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 8,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 38543,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 69,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
],
"resolution_source": "Semafor",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": null,
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}