CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~3,860 EVENTS / ~39,200 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will the price of WTI crude oil be above $80 per barrel on November 3, 2026? [ resolves 2026-11-11 (99D) ]

kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 65 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
≥ $63 2026-11-11 0.0%
A KXWTI-26NOV0….99
≥ $63.49 2026-11-11 0.0%
A KXWTI-26NOV0….49
≥ $64 2026-11-11 0.0%
A KXWTI-26NOV0….99
≥ $64.49 2026-11-11 0.0%
A KXWTI-26NOV0….49
≥ $65 2026-11-11 0.0%
A KXWTI-26NOV0….99
≥ $65.49 2026-11-11 0.0%
A KXWTI-26NOV0….49
≥ $66 2026-11-11 0.0%
A KXWTI-26NOV0….99
≥ $66.49 2026-11-11 0.0%
A KXWTI-26NOV0….49
≥ $67 2026-11-11 0.0%
A KXWTI-26NOV0….99
≥ $67.49 2026-11-11 0.0%
A KXWTI-26NOV0….49
≥ $68 2026-11-11 49.0%
$46 $46
A KXWTI-26NOV0….99
≥ $68.49 2026-11-11 0.0%
A KXWTI-26NOV0….49
≥ $69 2026-11-11 0.0%
A KXWTI-26NOV0….99
≥ $69.49 2026-11-11 0.0%
A KXWTI-26NOV0….49
≥ $70 2026-11-11 51.0%
$48 $48
A KXWTI-26NOV0….99
≥ $70.49 2026-11-11 0.0%
A KXWTI-26NOV0….49
≥ $71 2026-11-11 0.0%
A KXWTI-26NOV0….99
≥ $71.49 2026-11-11 47.0%
$10 $10
A KXWTI-26NOV0….49
≥ $72 2026-11-11 0.0%
A KXWTI-26NOV0….99
≥ $72.49 2026-11-11 46.0%
$0 $0
A KXWTI-26NOV0….49
≥ $73 2026-11-11 38.0%
$756 $11K
A KXWTI-26NOV0….99
≥ $74 2026-11-11 38.0%
$108 $3.6K
A KXWTI-26NOV0….99
≥ $75 2026-11-11 36.0%
$385 $5.0K
A KXWTI-26NOV0….99
≥ $76 2026-11-11 35.0%
$61 $3.9K
A KXWTI-26NOV0….99
≥ $77 2026-11-11 32.0%
$524 $4.9K
A KXWTI-26NOV0….99
≥ $78 2026-11-11 30.0%
$283 $1.4K
A KXWTI-26NOV0….99
≥ $79 2026-11-11 28.0%
$105 $1.3K
A KXWTI-26NOV0….99
≥ $80 2026-11-11 27.0%
$440 $3.3K
A KXWTI-26NOV0….99
≥ $81 2026-11-11 24.0%
$20 $1.7K
A KXWTI-26NOV0….99
≥ $82 2026-11-11 23.0%
$86 $2.1K
A KXWTI-26NOV0….99
≥ $83 2026-11-11 24.0%
$20 $2.4K
A KXWTI-26NOV0….99
≥ $84 2026-11-11 22.0%
$186 $2.4K
A KXWTI-26NOV0….99
≥ $85 2026-11-11 21.0%
$54 $2.8K
A KXWTI-26NOV0….99
≥ $86 2026-11-11 19.0%
$20 $1.5K
A KXWTI-26NOV0….99
≥ $87 2026-11-11 17.0%
$75 $2.1K
A KXWTI-26NOV0….99
≥ $88 2026-11-11 17.0%
$10 $854
A KXWTI-26NOV0….99
≥ $89 2026-11-11 16.0%
$46 $1000
A KXWTI-26NOV0….99
≥ $90 2026-11-11 14.0%
$178 $1.8K
A KXWTI-26NOV0….99
≥ $91 2026-11-11 13.0%
$4 $1.1K
A KXWTI-26NOV0….99
≥ $92 2026-11-11 14.0%
$2 $1.1K
A KXWTI-26NOV0….99
≥ $93 2026-11-11 13.0%
$107 $1.3K
A KXWTI-26NOV0….99
≥ $94 2026-11-11 11.0%
$177 $2.0K
A KXWTI-26NOV0….99
≥ $95 2026-11-11 11.0%
$104 $1.0K
A KXWTI-26NOV0….99
≥ $96 2026-11-11 10.0%
$47 $854
A KXWTI-26NOV0….99
≥ $97 2026-11-11 10.0%
$40 $573
A KXWTI-26NOV0….99
≥ $98 2026-11-11 9.0%
$16 $676
A KXWTI-26NOV0….99
≥ $99 2026-11-11 9.0%
$74 $525
A KXWTI-26NOV0….99
≥ $100 2026-11-11 9.0%
$99 $1.7K
A KXWTI-26NOV0….99
≥ $101 2026-11-11 8.0%
$65 $766
A KXWTI-26NOV0….99
≥ $102 2026-11-11 8.0%
$36 $612
A KXWTI-26NOV0….99
≥ $103 2026-11-11 7.0%
$30 $590
A KXWTI-26NOV0….99
≥ $104 2026-11-11 7.0%
$14 $406
A KXWTI-26NOV0….99
≥ $105 2026-11-11 9.0%
$1.5K
A KXWTI-26NOV0….99
≥ $106 2026-11-11 7.0%
$6 $494
A KXWTI-26NOV0….99
≥ $107 2026-11-11 6.0%
$5 $659
A KXWTI-26NOV0….99
≥ $108 2026-11-11 6.0%
$1 $672
A KXWTI-26NOV0….99
≥ $109 2026-11-11 6.0%
$562
A KXWTI-26NOV0….99
≥ $110 2026-11-11 5.0%
$2 $699
A KXWTI-26NOV0….99
≥ $111 2026-11-11 6.0%
$875
A KXWTI-26NOV0….99
≥ $112 2026-11-11 5.0%
$25 $685
A KXWTI-26NOV0….99
≥ $113 2026-11-11 5.0%
$3 $706
A KXWTI-26NOV0….99
≥ $114 2026-11-11 6.0%
$60 $1.1K
A KXWTI-26NOV0….99
≥ $115 2026-11-11 5.0%
$0 $675
A KXWTI-26NOV0….99
≥ $116 2026-11-11 5.0%
$3 $774
A KXWTI-26NOV0….99
≥ $117 2026-11-11 4.0%
$50 $3.1K
A KXWTI-26NOV0….99
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff ICE link Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 65 markets · share this text
If the front-month settle price for a barrel of West Texas Intermediate oil on November 03, 2026 is above ||Price||, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "ICE"
sources (1) · single authority
  • ICE source of record venue-listed
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxwti-26nov03/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxwti-26nov03
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxwti-26nov03")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-94JQ707RT3",
  "slug": "kxwti-26nov03",
  "question": "Will the price of WTI crude oil be above $80 per barrel on November 3, 2026?",
  "category": "financials",
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "wti-crude-oil",
    "energy-commodities",
    "us-election-2026",
    "price-settlement",
    "commodity-futures"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 65,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 79055,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 100,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "ICE",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.theice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "ICE",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "ICE",
      "url": "https://www.theice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →