Will the price of WTI crude oil be above $80 per barrel on November 3, 2026? [ resolves 2026-11-11 (99D) ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 65 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ $63 | 2026-11-11 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….99 | ||
| ≥ $63.49 | 2026-11-11 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….49 | ||
| ≥ $64 | 2026-11-11 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….99 | ||
| ≥ $64.49 | 2026-11-11 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….49 | ||
| ≥ $65 | 2026-11-11 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….99 | ||
| ≥ $65.49 | 2026-11-11 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….49 | ||
| ≥ $66 | 2026-11-11 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….99 | ||
| ≥ $66.49 | 2026-11-11 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….49 | ||
| ≥ $67 | 2026-11-11 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….99 | ||
| ≥ $67.49 | 2026-11-11 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….49 | ||
| ≥ $68 | 2026-11-11 | 49.0% | $46 | $46 | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….99 | ||
| ≥ $68.49 | 2026-11-11 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….49 | ||
| ≥ $69 | 2026-11-11 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….99 | ||
| ≥ $69.49 | 2026-11-11 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….49 | ||
| ≥ $70 | 2026-11-11 | 51.0% | $48 | $48 | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….99 | ||
| ≥ $70.49 | 2026-11-11 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….49 | ||
| ≥ $71 | 2026-11-11 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….99 | ||
| ≥ $71.49 | 2026-11-11 | 47.0% | $10 | $10 | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….49 | ||
| ≥ $72 | 2026-11-11 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….99 | ||
| ≥ $72.49 | 2026-11-11 | 46.0% | $0 | $0 | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….49 | ||
| ≥ $73 | 2026-11-11 | 38.0% | $756 | $11K | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….99 | ||
| ≥ $74 | 2026-11-11 | 38.0% | $108 | $3.6K | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….99 | ||
| ≥ $75 | 2026-11-11 | 36.0% | $385 | $5.0K | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….99 | ||
| ≥ $76 | 2026-11-11 | 35.0% | $61 | $3.9K | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….99 | ||
| ≥ $77 | 2026-11-11 | 32.0% | $524 | $4.9K | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….99 | ||
| ≥ $78 | 2026-11-11 | 30.0% | $283 | $1.4K | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….99 | ||
| ≥ $79 | 2026-11-11 | 28.0% | $105 | $1.3K | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….99 | ||
| ≥ $80 | 2026-11-11 | 27.0% | $440 | $3.3K | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….99 | ||
| ≥ $81 | 2026-11-11 | 24.0% | $20 | $1.7K | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….99 | ||
| ≥ $82 | 2026-11-11 | 23.0% | $86 | $2.1K | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….99 | ||
| ≥ $83 | 2026-11-11 | 24.0% | $20 | $2.4K | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….99 | ||
| ≥ $84 | 2026-11-11 | 22.0% | $186 | $2.4K | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….99 | ||
| ≥ $85 | 2026-11-11 | 21.0% | $54 | $2.8K | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….99 | ||
| ≥ $86 | 2026-11-11 | 19.0% | $20 | $1.5K | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….99 | ||
| ≥ $87 | 2026-11-11 | 17.0% | $75 | $2.1K | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….99 | ||
| ≥ $88 | 2026-11-11 | 17.0% | $10 | $854 | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….99 | ||
| ≥ $89 | 2026-11-11 | 16.0% | $46 | $1000 | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….99 | ||
| ≥ $90 | 2026-11-11 | 14.0% | $178 | $1.8K | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….99 | ||
| ≥ $91 | 2026-11-11 | 13.0% | $4 | $1.1K | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….99 | ||
| ≥ $92 | 2026-11-11 | 14.0% | $2 | $1.1K | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….99 | ||
| ≥ $93 | 2026-11-11 | 13.0% | $107 | $1.3K | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….99 | ||
| ≥ $94 | 2026-11-11 | 11.0% | $177 | $2.0K | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….99 | ||
| ≥ $95 | 2026-11-11 | 11.0% | $104 | $1.0K | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….99 | ||
| ≥ $96 | 2026-11-11 | 10.0% | $47 | $854 | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….99 | ||
| ≥ $97 | 2026-11-11 | 10.0% | $40 | $573 | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….99 | ||
| ≥ $98 | 2026-11-11 | 9.0% | $16 | $676 | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….99 | ||
| ≥ $99 | 2026-11-11 | 9.0% | $74 | $525 | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….99 | ||
| ≥ $100 | 2026-11-11 | 9.0% | $99 | $1.7K | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….99 | ||
| ≥ $101 | 2026-11-11 | 8.0% | $65 | $766 | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….99 | ||
| ≥ $102 | 2026-11-11 | 8.0% | $36 | $612 | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….99 | ||
| ≥ $103 | 2026-11-11 | 7.0% | $30 | $590 | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….99 | ||
| ≥ $104 | 2026-11-11 | 7.0% | $14 | $406 | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….99 | ||
| ≥ $105 | 2026-11-11 | 9.0% | — | $1.5K | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….99 | ||
| ≥ $106 | 2026-11-11 | 7.0% | $6 | $494 | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….99 | ||
| ≥ $107 | 2026-11-11 | 6.0% | $5 | $659 | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….99 | ||
| ≥ $108 | 2026-11-11 | 6.0% | $1 | $672 | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….99 | ||
| ≥ $109 | 2026-11-11 | 6.0% | — | $562 | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….99 | ||
| ≥ $110 | 2026-11-11 | 5.0% | $2 | $699 | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….99 | ||
| ≥ $111 | 2026-11-11 | 6.0% | — | $875 | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….99 | ||
| ≥ $112 | 2026-11-11 | 5.0% | $25 | $685 | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….99 | ||
| ≥ $113 | 2026-11-11 | 5.0% | $3 | $706 | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….99 | ||
| ≥ $114 | 2026-11-11 | 6.0% | $60 | $1.1K | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….99 | ||
| ≥ $115 | 2026-11-11 | 5.0% | $0 | $675 | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….99 | ||
| ≥ $116 | 2026-11-11 | 5.0% | $3 | $774 | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….99 | ||
| ≥ $117 | 2026-11-11 | 4.0% | $50 | $3.1K | A | KXWTI-26NOV0….99 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | ICE | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxwti-26nov03/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxwti-26nov03 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxwti-26nov03") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-94JQ707RT3",
"slug": "kxwti-26nov03",
"question": "Will the price of WTI crude oil be above $80 per barrel on November 3, 2026?",
"category": "financials",
"tags": [
"financials",
"wti-crude-oil",
"energy-commodities",
"us-election-2026",
"price-settlement",
"commodity-futures"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 65,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 79055,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 100,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "ICE",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.theice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "ICE",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "ICE",
"url": "https://www.theice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}