Will the price of WTI oil be above 75 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST? [ resolves 2027-01-07 (156D) ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 11 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| > 75 | 2027-01-07 | 54.0% | $24 | $2.6K | A | KXWTIDIRY-26…T75 | ||
| > 80 | 2027-01-07 | 50.0% | $132 | $2.1K | A | KXWTIDIRY-26…T80 | ||
| > 85 | 2027-01-07 | 26.0% | $13 | $192 | A | KXWTIDIRY-26…T85 | ||
| > 90 | 2027-01-07 | 34.0% | $137 | $403 | A | KXWTIDIRY-26…T90 | ||
| > 95 | 2027-01-07 | 28.0% | — | $155 | A | KXWTIDIRY-26…T95 | ||
| > 100 | 2027-01-07 | 25.0% | $5 | $212 | A | KXWTIDIRY-26…100 | ||
| > 105 | 2027-01-07 | 20.0% | — | $96 | A | KXWTIDIRY-26…105 | ||
| > 110 | 2027-01-07 | 21.0% | — | $28 | A | KXWTIDIRY-26…110 | ||
| > 115 | 2027-01-07 | 15.0% | — | $12 | A | KXWTIDIRY-26…115 | ||
| > 120 | 2027-01-07 | 14.0% | — | $351 | A | KXWTIDIRY-26…120 | ||
| > 125 | 2027-01-07 | 8.0% | — | $6 | A | KXWTIDIRY-26…125 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | ICE | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the settlement price of WTI Crude Oil on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST is above 75 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement is based on the February 2027 contract released on December 31, 2026.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "ICE" ↗ sources (1) · single authority
- ICE source of record venue-listed
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxwtidiry-26dec31h1430/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxwtidiry-26dec31h1430 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxwtidiry-26dec31h1430") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-N12K7YZCV3",
"slug": "kxwtidiry-26dec31h1430",
"question": "Will the price of WTI oil be above 75 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?",
"category": "financials",
"tags": [
"financials",
"wti-crude-oil",
"energy-commodities",
"price-prediction",
"year-end-2026",
"financial-markets"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 11,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 6100,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 100,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "ICE",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.ice.com/report/10",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "ICE",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "ICE",
"url": "https://www.ice.com/report/10",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}