Will the WTI Oil close price be above 75.69 USD/barrel on August 04, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET? [ resolves 2026-08-11 (7D) ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 40 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ $74 | 2026-08-11 | 93.0% | $42 | $42 | A | KXWTIH-26AUG….29 | ||
| ≥ $74 | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXWTIH-26AUG….79 | ||
| ≥ $74 | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXWTIH-26AUG….89 | ||
| ≥ $74 | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXWTIH-26AUG….99 | ||
| ≥ $74 | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXWTIH-26AUG….09 | ||
| ≥ $74 | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXWTIH-26AUG….19 | ||
| ≥ $74.39 | 2026-08-11 | 99.0% | $54 | $54 | A | KXWTIH-26AUG….39 | ||
| ≥ $74.49 | 2026-08-11 | 99.0% | $54 | $54 | A | KXWTIH-26AUG….49 | ||
| ≥ $74.59 | 2026-08-11 | 99.0% | $54 | $54 | A | KXWTIH-26AUG….59 | ||
| ≥ $75 | 2026-08-11 | 99.0% | $54 | $54 | A | KXWTIH-26AUG….69 | ||
| ≥ $75 | 2026-08-11 | 99.0% | $50 | $54 | A | KXWTIH-26AUG….79 | ||
| ≥ $75 | 2026-08-11 | 99.0% | $50 | $54 | A | KXWTIH-26AUG….89 | ||
| ≥ $75 | 2026-08-11 | 99.0% | $50 | $54 | A | KXWTIH-26AUG….99 | ||
| ≥ $75 | 2026-08-11 | 99.0% | $73 | $153 | A | KXWTIH-26AUG….19 | ||
| ≥ $75 | 2026-08-11 | 98.0% | $49 | $54 | A | KXWTIH-26AUG….09 | ||
| ≥ $75 | 2026-08-11 | 97.0% | $165 | $170 | A | KXWTIH-26AUG….29 | ||
| ≥ $75.39 | 2026-08-11 | 99.0% | $368 | $377 | A | KXWTIH-26AUG….39 | ||
| ≥ $75.49 | 2026-08-11 | 98.0% | $984 | $1.0K | A | KXWTIH-26AUG….49 | ||
| ≥ $75.59 | 2026-08-11 | 97.0% | $1.6K | $2.1K | A | KXWTIH-26AUG….59 | ||
| ≥ $76 | 2026-08-11 | 67.0% | $1.1K | $2.3K | A | KXWTIH-26AUG….69 | ||
| ≥ $76 | 2026-08-11 | 22.0% | $235 | $547 | A | KXWTIH-26AUG….79 | ||
| ≥ $76 | 2026-08-11 | 4.0% | $31 | $32 | A | KXWTIH-26AUG….09 | ||
| ≥ $76 | 2026-08-11 | 3.0% | $44 | $48 | A | KXWTIH-26AUG….99 | ||
| ≥ $76 | 2026-08-11 | 1.0% | $12 | $14 | A | KXWTIH-26AUG….89 | ||
| ≥ $76 | 2026-08-11 | 1.0% | $5 | $5 | A | KXWTIH-26AUG….19 | ||
| ≥ $76 | 2026-08-11 | 1.0% | $2 | $2 | A | KXWTIH-26AUG….29 | ||
| ≥ $76.39 | 2026-08-11 | 10.0% | $28 | $28 | A | KXWTIH-26AUG….39 | ||
| ≥ $76.49 | 2026-08-11 | 2.0% | $0 | $0 | A | KXWTIH-26AUG….49 | ||
| ≥ $76.59 | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXWTIH-26AUG….59 | ||
| ≥ $77 | 2026-08-11 | 7.0% | $2 | $2 | A | KXWTIH-26AUG….89 | ||
| ≥ $77 | 2026-08-11 | 6.0% | $1 | $1 | A | KXWTIH-26AUG….79 | ||
| ≥ $77 | 2026-08-11 | 2.0% | $0 | $0 | A | KXWTIH-26AUG….69 | ||
| ≥ $77 | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXWTIH-26AUG….99 | ||
| ≥ $77 | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXWTIH-26AUG….09 | ||
| ≥ $77 | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXWTIH-26AUG….19 | ||
| ≥ $77 | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXWTIH-26AUG….29 | ||
| ≥ $77.39 | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXWTIH-26AUG….39 | ||
| ≥ $77.49 | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXWTIH-26AUG….49 | ||
| ≥ $77.59 | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXWTIH-26AUG….59 | ||
| ≥ $78 | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXWTIH-26AUG….69 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Pyth - WTI | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXWTIH, notice id KXWTIH-2026-07-27):
**Important information:** Effective Thursday, July 30th at 5:00 AM ET (following weekly maintenance), hourly WTI transitions to a static 24/5 index feed (Commodities.Index.PYTHOIL/USD, ID 3063) operating without intraday breaks. This permanently replaces rolling front-month futures contracts—eliminating contract flips or feed ID changes.
[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for WTI Oil on August 04, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT is above 73.79 USD/barrel, then the market resolves to Yes.
The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 0.01 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.
NA
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Pyth - WTI" ↗ sources (2) · single authority
- Pyth - WTI source of record venue-listed
- Commodities.Index.PYTHOIL/USD from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxwtih-26aug0414/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxwtih-26aug0414 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxwtih-26aug0414") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-MTZZYZ8CB2",
"slug": "kxwtih-26aug0414",
"question": "Will the WTI Oil close price be above 75.69 USD/barrel on August 04, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET?",
"category": "financials",
"tags": [
"financials",
"wti-crude-oil",
"energy-commodities",
"price-prediction",
"2026",
"intraday-pricing"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 40,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 7271,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 100,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Pyth - WTI",
"resolution_source_url": "https://app.pyth.com/explore/Commodities.Index.PYTHOIL%2FUSD?returnUrl=%2Fexplore%3Fsearch%3DPythOil%26state%3Dstable",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Pyth - WTI",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Pyth - WTI",
"url": "https://app.pyth.com/explore/Commodities.Index.PYTHOIL%2FUSD?returnUrl=%2Fexplore%3Fsearch%3DPythOil%26state%3Dstable",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Commodities.Index.PYTHOIL/USD",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}