CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~3,860 EVENTS / ~39,200 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will the WTI Oil close price be above 75.69 USD/barrel on August 04, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET? [ resolves 2026-08-11 (7D) ]

kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 40 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
≥ $74 2026-08-11 93.0%
$42 $42
A KXWTIH-26AUG….29
≥ $74 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXWTIH-26AUG….79
≥ $74 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXWTIH-26AUG….89
≥ $74 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXWTIH-26AUG….99
≥ $74 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXWTIH-26AUG….09
≥ $74 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXWTIH-26AUG….19
≥ $74.39 2026-08-11 99.0%
$54 $54
A KXWTIH-26AUG….39
≥ $74.49 2026-08-11 99.0%
$54 $54
A KXWTIH-26AUG….49
≥ $74.59 2026-08-11 99.0%
$54 $54
A KXWTIH-26AUG….59
≥ $75 2026-08-11 99.0%
$54 $54
A KXWTIH-26AUG….69
≥ $75 2026-08-11 99.0%
$50 $54
A KXWTIH-26AUG….79
≥ $75 2026-08-11 99.0%
$50 $54
A KXWTIH-26AUG….89
≥ $75 2026-08-11 99.0%
$50 $54
A KXWTIH-26AUG….99
≥ $75 2026-08-11 99.0%
$73 $153
A KXWTIH-26AUG….19
≥ $75 2026-08-11 98.0%
$49 $54
A KXWTIH-26AUG….09
≥ $75 2026-08-11 97.0%
$165 $170
A KXWTIH-26AUG….29
≥ $75.39 2026-08-11 99.0%
$368 $377
A KXWTIH-26AUG….39
≥ $75.49 2026-08-11 98.0%
$984 $1.0K
A KXWTIH-26AUG….49
≥ $75.59 2026-08-11 97.0%
$1.6K $2.1K
A KXWTIH-26AUG….59
≥ $76 2026-08-11 67.0%
$1.1K $2.3K
A KXWTIH-26AUG….69
≥ $76 2026-08-11 22.0%
$235 $547
A KXWTIH-26AUG….79
≥ $76 2026-08-11 4.0%
$31 $32
A KXWTIH-26AUG….09
≥ $76 2026-08-11 3.0%
$44 $48
A KXWTIH-26AUG….99
≥ $76 2026-08-11 1.0%
$12 $14
A KXWTIH-26AUG….89
≥ $76 2026-08-11 1.0%
$5 $5
A KXWTIH-26AUG….19
≥ $76 2026-08-11 1.0%
$2 $2
A KXWTIH-26AUG….29
≥ $76.39 2026-08-11 10.0%
$28 $28
A KXWTIH-26AUG….39
≥ $76.49 2026-08-11 2.0%
$0 $0
A KXWTIH-26AUG….49
≥ $76.59 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXWTIH-26AUG….59
≥ $77 2026-08-11 7.0%
$2 $2
A KXWTIH-26AUG….89
≥ $77 2026-08-11 6.0%
$1 $1
A KXWTIH-26AUG….79
≥ $77 2026-08-11 2.0%
$0 $0
A KXWTIH-26AUG….69
≥ $77 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXWTIH-26AUG….99
≥ $77 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXWTIH-26AUG….09
≥ $77 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXWTIH-26AUG….19
≥ $77 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXWTIH-26AUG….29
≥ $77.39 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXWTIH-26AUG….39
≥ $77.49 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXWTIH-26AUG….49
≥ $77.59 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXWTIH-26AUG….59
≥ $78 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXWTIH-26AUG….69
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff Pyth - WTI link Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 40 markets · share this text
EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXWTIH, notice id KXWTIH-2026-07-27): **Important information:** Effective Thursday, July 30th at 5:00 AM ET (following weekly maintenance), hourly WTI transitions to a static 24/5 index feed (Commodities.Index.PYTHOIL/USD, ID 3063) operating without intraday breaks. This permanently replaces rolling front-month futures contracts—eliminating contract flips or feed ID changes. [END EXCHANGE NOTICE] If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for WTI Oil on August 04, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT is above 73.79 USD/barrel, then the market resolves to Yes. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 0.01 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market. NA
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "Pyth - WTI"
sources (2) · single authority
  • Pyth - WTI source of record venue-listed
  • Commodities.Index.PYTHOIL/USD from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxwtih-26aug0414/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxwtih-26aug0414
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxwtih-26aug0414")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-MTZZYZ8CB2",
  "slug": "kxwtih-26aug0414",
  "question": "Will the WTI Oil close price be above 75.69 USD/barrel on August 04, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET?",
  "category": "financials",
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "wti-crude-oil",
    "energy-commodities",
    "price-prediction",
    "2026",
    "intraday-pricing"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 40,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 7271,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 100,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "Pyth - WTI",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://app.pyth.com/explore/Commodities.Index.PYTHOIL%2FUSD?returnUrl=%2Fexplore%3Fsearch%3DPythOil%26state%3Dstable",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "Pyth - WTI",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "Pyth - WTI",
      "url": "https://app.pyth.com/explore/Commodities.Index.PYTHOIL%2FUSD?returnUrl=%2Fexplore%3Fsearch%3DPythOil%26state%3Dstable",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Commodities.Index.PYTHOIL/USD",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →