CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,000 EVENTS / ~16,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

WTI crude oil maximum settlement price, December 31, 2026 [ resolves 2027-01-01 (212D) ]

kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike
kalshi 13 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
≥ $100 2027-01-01 99.8%
$465K
A KXWTIMAX-26D…100
≥ $105 2027-01-01 81.2%
$234K
A KXWTIMAX-26D…105
≥ $110 2027-01-01 85.0%
$125K
A KXWTIMAX-26D…110
≥ $115 2027-01-01 58.6%
$2.2K $367K
A KXWTIMAX-26D…115
≥ $120 2027-01-01 46.5%
$3.2K $228K
A KXWTIMAX-26D…120
≥ $125 2027-01-01 42.0%
$1.3K $153K
A KXWTIMAX-26D…125
≥ $130 2027-01-01 40.0%
$2.1K $152K
A KXWTIMAX-26D…130
≥ $135 2027-01-01 37.0%
$512 $105K
A KXWTIMAX-26D…135
≥ $140 2027-01-01 31.4%
$1.3K $140K
A KXWTIMAX-26D…140
≥ $150 2027-01-01 31.9%
$1.2K $180K
A KXWTIMAX-26D…150
≥ $160 2027-01-01 21.2%
$290 $92K
A KXWTIMAX-26D…160
≥ $180 2027-01-01 20.8%
$517 $127K
A KXWTIMAX-26D…180
≥ $200 2027-01-01 16.0%
$1.6K $46K
A KXWTIMAX-26D…200
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff theice.com link Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 13 markets · share this text
If ICE reports that the maximum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is above $100 between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "theice.com"
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxwtimax-26dec31/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxwtimax-26dec31.json
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxwtimax-26dec31")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-08YPSXQR83",
  "slug": "kxwtimax-26dec31",
  "question": "WTI crude oil maximum settlement price, December 31, 2026",
  "category": "financials",
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "wti-crude-oil",
    "price-ceiling",
    "energy-commodities",
    "2026-resolution",
    "financial-derivatives"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 13,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 2415475,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 90,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "theice.com",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.theice.com/index",
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →