CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,000 EVENTS / ~16,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will WTI outperform Brent crude oil on an annual return basis? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (212D) ]

Will Brent Crude Oil outperform WTI Crude Oil?

kalshi: [B] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
markets · by resolution date
kalshi 2 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Will Brent Crude Oil outperform WTI Crude Oil 2027-01-01 77.0%
$87 $5.0K
B KXWTIVSBRENT…ENT
Will WTI Crude Oil outperform Brent Crude Oil 2027-01-01 25.0%
$5 $1.8K
B KXWTIVSBRENT…WTI
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff uncommitted link Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 2 markets · share this text
If WTI Crude Oil performs above Brent Crude Oil for the period of 2026 by 0.001% rounded to the nearest 3rd then the market resolves to Yes. Percent return is calculated from the official open price of WTI Crude Oil on January 2, 2026 (the first published trading day of the calendar year) and the official closing price on December 31, 2026. For example, if WTI Crude Oil opens at $80.00 per barrel on January 2, 2026 and closes at $90.00 per barrel on December 31, 2026, it will be concluded that the annual percentage return of WTI Crude Oil is +12.500%.
platform source field kalshi.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxwtivsbrent-26dec31/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxwtivsbrent-26dec31.json
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxwtivsbrent-26dec31")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-0Q06G7L3R3",
  "slug": "kxwtivsbrent-26dec31",
  "question": "Will WTI outperform Brent crude oil on an annual return basis?",
  "category": "financials",
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "crude-oil",
    "energy-commodities",
    "comparative-returns",
    "2027",
    "wti-brent"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 2,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 6803,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
  "rcg_score": 90,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "uncommitted_illustrative"
  ],
  "resolution_source": null,
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en",
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →