CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~3,860 EVENTS / ~39,200 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

What will the XRP price be at 5:00 PM EDT on August 4, 2026? [ resolves 2026-08-11 (7D) ]

kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 40 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
≥ $0.6 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXXRPD-26AUG…999
≥ $0.62 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXXRPD-26AUG…199
≥ $0.64 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXXRPD-26AUG…399
≥ $0.66 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXXRPD-26AUG…599
≥ $0.68 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXXRPD-26AUG…799
≥ $0.7 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXXRPD-26AUG…999
≥ $0.72 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXXRPD-26AUG…199
≥ $0.74 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXXRPD-26AUG…399
≥ $0.76 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXXRPD-26AUG…599
≥ $0.78 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXXRPD-26AUG…799
≥ $0.8 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXXRPD-26AUG…999
≥ $0.82 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXXRPD-26AUG…199
≥ $0.84 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXXRPD-26AUG…399
≥ $0.86 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXXRPD-26AUG…599
≥ $0.88 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXXRPD-26AUG…799
≥ $0.9 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXXRPD-26AUG…999
≥ $0.92 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXXRPD-26AUG…199
≥ $0.94 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXXRPD-26AUG…399
≥ $0.96 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXXRPD-26AUG…599
≥ $0.98 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXXRPD-26AUG…799
≥ $1 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXXRPD-26AUG…999
≥ $1.02 2026-08-11 99.0%
$514 $514
A KXXRPD-26AUG…199
≥ $1.04 2026-08-11 99.0%
$1.4K $1.4K
A KXXRPD-26AUG…399
≥ $1.06 2026-08-11 97.0%
$3.6K $3.6K
A KXXRPD-26AUG…599
≥ $1.08 2026-08-11 18.0%
$367 $367
A KXXRPD-26AUG…799
≥ $1.1 2026-08-11 1.0%
$17 $17
A KXXRPD-26AUG…999
≥ $1.12 2026-08-11 5.0%
$26 $26
A KXXRPD-26AUG…199
≥ $1.14 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXXRPD-26AUG…399
≥ $1.16 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXXRPD-26AUG…599
≥ $1.18 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXXRPD-26AUG…799
≥ $1.2 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXXRPD-26AUG…999
≥ $1.22 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXXRPD-26AUG…199
≥ $1.24 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXXRPD-26AUG…399
≥ $1.26 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXXRPD-26AUG…599
≥ $1.28 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXXRPD-26AUG…799
≥ $1.3 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXXRPD-26AUG…999
≥ $1.32 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXXRPD-26AUG…199
≥ $1.34 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXXRPD-26AUG…399
≥ $1.36 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXXRPD-26AUG…599
≥ $1.38 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXXRPD-26AUG…799
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff CF Benchmarks link Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 40 markets · share this text
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 0.5999 at 5 PM EDT on Aug 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on a simple average of the CF Benchmarks index for the 60 seconds prior to the specified time. The price must meet the criterion at exactly the specified time on the target date. If no data is available or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked. The CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index provides continuous pricing data for major cryptocurrencies.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "CF Benchmarks"
sources (3) · single authority
  • CF Benchmarks source of record venue-listed
  • CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) from rules text · editorial
  • CF Benchmarks index from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxxrpd-26aug0417/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxxrpd-26aug0417
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxxrpd-26aug0417")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-C2Q51P28K9",
  "slug": "kxxrpd-26aug0417",
  "question": "What will the XRP price be at 5:00 PM EDT on August 4, 2026?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "xrp",
    "crypto-price",
    "ethereum-ecosystem",
    "price-prediction",
    "2026"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 40,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 5881,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 100,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "CF Benchmarks",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/XRPUSD_RTI",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "CF Benchmarks",
      "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/XRPUSD_RTI",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI)",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    {
      "name": "CF Benchmarks index",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →