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Will Zaļo un Zemnieku Savienība (ZZS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? [ resolves 2026-10-03 (122D) ]

Will Jaunā Vienotība (JV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?

polymarket: [C] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
polymarket 36 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Will Jaunā Vienotība (JV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary… 2026-10-03 33.0%
$8 $6.8K
C 0x48ec35…3e02
Will Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian… 2026-10-03 31.0%
$5 $4.5K
C 0xaca9f7…1f77
Will Nacionālā Apvienība (NA) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian… 2026-10-03 21.0%
$5 $3.0K
C 0x212c63…37fc
Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary… 2026-10-03 12.8%
$20 $14K
C 0x5039c1…ecba
Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian… 2026-10-03 4.1%
$93 $4.9K
C 0x0eac20…9e53
Will Suverēnā Vara (SV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary… 2026-10-03 3.9%
$5 $1.2K
C 0x343925…be57
Will Stabilitātei! (ST!) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary… 2026-10-03 1.6%
$5 $793
C 0x192132…1d07
Will Zaļo un Zemnieku Savienība (ZZS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian… 2026-10-03 1.1%
$5 $49K
C 0x09d1f8…26d3
Will Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” (S) win the most seats in the 2026… 2026-10-03 0.2%
$5 $926
C 0xcb048c…6c48
Will Party H win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election 2026-10-03 0.0%
C 0x881139…51f0
Will Party M win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election 2026-10-03 0.0%
C 0x5b8835…160c
Will Party N win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election 2026-10-03 0.0%
C 0x22fcdd…4ce1
Will Party P win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election 2026-10-03 0.0%
C 0x533548…63ef
Will Party R win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election 2026-10-03 0.0%
C 0xb15ef7…ad23
Will Party T win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election 2026-10-03 0.0%
C 0xd46b80…c8ed
Will Party V win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election 2026-10-03 0.0%
C 0xaffc3f…f910
Will Party Z win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election 2026-10-03 0.0%
C 0x04889b…b54c
Will another party win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election 2026-10-03 0.0%
C 0xfe4a28…2605
Will Party A win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election 2026-10-03 0.0%
C 0xeb9e7d…a655
Will Party B win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election 2026-10-03 0.0%
C 0x8085c5…ebe5
Will Party E win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election 2026-10-03 0.0%
C 0xaf7235…32b1
Will Party I win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election 2026-10-03 0.0%
C 0x7bdfa4…18b3
Will Party K win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election 2026-10-03 0.0%
C 0xa6a32f…98b2
Will Party L win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election 2026-10-03 0.0%
C 0x777913…9992
Will Party O win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election 2026-10-03 0.0%
C 0xc07c60…02dc
Will Party Q win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election 2026-10-03 0.0%
C 0x5edaf2…cbc8
Will Party S win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election 2026-10-03 0.0%
C 0xdab25d…a182
Will Party U win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election 2026-10-03 0.0%
C 0x35bf79…cf7e
Will Party W win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election 2026-10-03 0.0%
C 0x04330e…9ee5
Will Party X win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election 2026-10-03 0.0%
C 0x0a50ef…f7ec
Will Party D win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election 2026-10-03 0.0%
C 0x18e871…ee70
Will Party F win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election 2026-10-03 0.0%
C 0x6291f6…454e
Will Party G win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election 2026-10-03 0.0%
C 0xe37cdc…709c
Will Party J win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election 2026-10-03 0.0%
C 0xdc75ed…4505
Will Party Y win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election 2026-10-03 0.0%
C 0x8dda4e…d168
Will Party C win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election 2026-10-03 0.0%
C 0xba145b…97c0
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
polymarket Whitelisted Proposers uncommitted link Optimistic Oracle (UMA) Other
verbatim rules
polymarket 36 markets · share this text
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election. In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
platform source field polymarket.descriptionhttps://www.cvk.lv/lv
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/latvian-parliamentary-election-winner/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/latvian-parliamentary-election-winner.json
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("latvian-parliamentary-election-winner")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-TPH1FR3YZ0",
  "slug": "latvian-parliamentary-election-winner",
  "question": "Will Zaļo un Zemnieku Savienība (ZZS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "latvia",
    "parliamentary",
    "2026",
    "seat-plurality"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 36,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 84541,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 68,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "uncommitted_placeholder"
  ],
  "resolution_source": null,
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.cvk.lv/lv",
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →