CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,450 EVENTS / ~20,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will a winner of the Massachusetts Governor election be determined by the election date? [ resolves — ]

polymarket: [A] multiple sources, tie-break·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 13 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
The Democrats 94.4%
$18K
A 0x479d1a…3813
The Republicans 4.0%
$17K
A 0xcace18…5722
Option D 0.0%
A 0xf4e0b1…95b9
Option H 0.0%
A 0xe66f19…6ac0
Option A 0.0%
A 0x1c8c0d…b1b4
Option E 0.0%
A 0x0d6a6b…a6d4
Option I 0.0%
A 0xd1444d…24ee
Option B 0.0%
A 0xc6757f…b6c8
Option F 0.0%
A 0x9d30e9…8b7b
Option J 0.0%
A 0xec147f…cb9d
Option C 0.0%
A 0xa6a088…53e7
Option G 0.0%
A 0x321913…54c9
Other 0.0%
A 0xddd03c…1bc8
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
polymarket Whitelisted Proposers not provided not provided Optimistic Oracle (UMA) Other
verbatim rules
polymarket 13 markets · share this text
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
platform source field polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ none returned
sources (4) · quorum — multiple sources must agree
  • Associated Press from rules text · editorial
  • Fox News from rules text · editorial
  • NBC from rules text · editorial
  • official certification from rules text · editorial
resolution history
outcome market venue resolved final price
closed Will Option D win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? polymarket 2026-07-06
closed Will Option H win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? polymarket 2026-07-06
closed Will Option A win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? polymarket 2026-07-06
closed Will Option E win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? polymarket 2026-07-06
closed Will Option I win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? polymarket 2026-07-06
closed Will Option B win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? polymarket 2026-07-06
closed Will Option F win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? polymarket 2026-07-06
closed Will Option J win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? polymarket 2026-07-06
closed Will Option C win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? polymarket 2026-07-06
closed Will Option G win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? polymarket 2026-07-06
closed Will Other win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? polymarket 2026-07-06
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (11 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/massachusetts-governor-winner-2026/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/massachusetts-governor-winner-2026
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("massachusetts-governor-winner-2026")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-3HNT2VSLV9",
  "slug": "massachusetts-governor-winner-2026",
  "question": "Will a winner of the Massachusetts Governor election be determined by the election date?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "us-governor",
    "massachusetts",
    "2026-election",
    "state-race"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 13,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 35257,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 82,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": null,
  "resolution_source_url": null,
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "Associated Press",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    {
      "name": "Fox News",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    {
      "name": "NBC",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    {
      "name": "official certification",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →