Will MegaETH conduct an airdrop? [ resolves 2025-10 – 2027-01 ]
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?
polymarket: [C] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 8 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 30 | 2025-10-01 | 100.0% | — | $4.9K | C | 0x6f5626…fb1a | ||
| December 31 | 2026-01-01 | 100.0% | — | $406K | C | 0xe7ea46…0348 | ||
| January 31 | 2026-02-01 | 0.1% | — | $125K | C | 0x56a1c6…bf67 | ||
| February 15 | 2026-02-20 | 0.1% | — | $258K | C | 0xdcd369…d4f7 | ||
| February 28 | 2026-03-01 | 0.1% | — | $213K | C | 0x30ee7a…4fac | ||
| March 15 | 2026-03-16 | 0.2% | — | — | C | 0x27e48f…aff4 | ||
| June 30 | 2026-07-01 | 0.0% | $1.1K | $1.58M | C | 0xe459d1…3c8e | ||
| December 31, 2026 | 2027-01-01 | 31.0% | $353 | $8.1K | C | 0x10d8e0…937b |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MegaETH launches a token and performs an airdrop by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from MegaETH, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above sources (2)
- on-chain information from rules text · editorial
- official information from MegaETH from rules text · editorial
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? | polymarket | 2026-07-01 | 0% |
| closed | Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by March 15? | polymarket | 2026-03-16 | — |
| closed | Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by February 28? | polymarket | 2026-03-01 | — |
| closed | Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by February 15? | polymarket | 2026-02-20 | — |
| closed | Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by January 31? | polymarket | 2026-02-01 | — |
| closed | Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31? | polymarket | 2026-01-01 | — |
| closed | Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by September 30? | polymarket | 2025-10-01 | — |
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (7 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/megaeth-airdrop-by/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/megaeth-airdrop-by |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("megaeth-airdrop-by") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-W92LK6Z010",
"slug": "megaeth-airdrop-by",
"question": "Will MegaETH conduct an airdrop?",
"category": "crypto",
"tags": [
"crypto",
"airdrop",
"megaeth",
"token-distribution",
"ethereum-ecosystem"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 8,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 2590345,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 59,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "on-chain information",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "official information from MegaETH",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}