Will the governing party win the most seats in the Mexico legislative election? [ resolves 2027-06-06 (368D) ]
Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
polymarket: [C] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
polymarket 33 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027… | 2027-06-06 | 97.7% | $3 | $15K | C | 0xbe97f7…5718 | ||
| Will Citizens’ Movement (MC) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative… | 2027-06-06 | 1.6% | — | $6.4K | C | 0x509659…101d | ||
| Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico… | 2027-06-06 | 0.3% | — | $4.3K | C | 0x9d5ef6…b678 | ||
| Will the Labor Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative… | 2027-06-06 | 0.2% | — | $4.3K | C | 0x3e3f8e…2146 | ||
| Will the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) win the most seats in the 2027… | 2027-06-06 | 0.2% | $5 | $4.0K | C | 0x2728f7…3c14 | ||
| Will the Ecologist Green Party of Mexico (PVEM) win the most seats in the 2027… | 2027-06-06 | 0.1% | — | $4.2K | C | 0x144473…368a | ||
| Will Party A win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election | 2027-06-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x4a2442…cc07 | ||
| Will Party C win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election | 2027-06-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xc7864b…e16c | ||
| Will Party E win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election | 2027-06-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xbe25e8…dc1e | ||
| Will Party G win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election | 2027-06-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xe06bc0…5427 | ||
| Will Party I win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election | 2027-06-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x54c23e…a101 | ||
| Will Party K win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election | 2027-06-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x4336a9…ca3c | ||
| Will Party M win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election | 2027-06-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x4bb4f5…3228 | ||
| Will Party O win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election | 2027-06-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x19a1e4…1e77 | ||
| Will Party Q win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election | 2027-06-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xfed6b5…868c | ||
| Will Party S win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election | 2027-06-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x21626a…4152 | ||
| Will Party U win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election | 2027-06-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x480998…42c5 | ||
| Will Party W win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election | 2027-06-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x3dfc0a…217b | ||
| Will Party Y win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election | 2027-06-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x46f0a1…ef1a | ||
| Will another party win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election | 2027-06-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x9816fd…5e08 | ||
| Will Party B win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election | 2027-06-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x9e90a5…2e95 | ||
| Will Party D win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election | 2027-06-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xf96011…e7d2 | ||
| Will Party F win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election | 2027-06-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x1714a6…7dcb | ||
| Will Party H win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election | 2027-06-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x738fbc…b4c8 | ||
| Will Party J win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election | 2027-06-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xc3dd04…1075 | ||
| Will Party L win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election | 2027-06-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xb35e4e…ca7e | ||
| Will Party N win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election | 2027-06-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xed249f…c761 | ||
| Will Party P win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election | 2027-06-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x06d740…de96 | ||
| Will Party R win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election | 2027-06-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x621fdf…e1f2 | ||
| Will Party T win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election | 2027-06-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xe6dcd1…16b8 | ||
| Will Party V win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election | 2027-06-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x8b8e83…5afd | ||
| Will Party X win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election | 2027-06-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xbaaa24…ad02 | ||
| Will Party Z win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election | 2027-06-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x1e7933…cc21 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/mexico-legislative-election-winner/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/mexico-legislative-election-winner.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("mexico-legislative-election-winner") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-Y1NLGQ5267",
"slug": "mexico-legislative-election-winner",
"question": "Will the governing party win the most seats in the Mexico legislative election?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"elections",
"mexico",
"legislative",
"2027",
"seat-allocation"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 33,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 37964,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 47,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://ine.mx/",
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}