Will the Democratic Senate primary winner in Washtenaw County, Michigan be determined by the 2026 primary election? [ resolves 2026-08-04 (0D) ]
polymarket: [A] multiple sources, tie-break·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 6 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdul El-Sayed | 2026-08-04 | 97.7% | $3.4K | $10K | A | 0x925bd1…5151 | ||
| Haley Stevens | 2026-08-04 | 0.1% | $805 | $3.2K | A | 0x756fa7…26ac | ||
| Candidate A | 2026-08-04 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x0da78e…0ee5 | ||
| Candidate B | 2026-08-04 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x721273…9d51 | ||
| Candidate C | 2026-08-04 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x7efa62…222b | ||
| Another candidate | 2026-08-04 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x132520…c2f7 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | not provided | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Washtenaw County in the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the Washtenaw County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Washtenaw County.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ none returned sources (2) · stated precedence rule
- Office of the Secretary of State from rules text · editorial
- government of Washtenaw County from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/michigan-democratic-senate-primary-washtenaw-county-ann-arbor-winner-20260715182626156/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/michigan-democratic-senate-primary-washtenaw-county-ann-arbor-winner-20260715182626156 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("michigan-democratic-senate-primary-washtenaw-county-ann-arbor-winner-20260715182626156") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-SXQTMMN8P6",
"slug": "michigan-democratic-senate-primary-washtenaw-county-ann-arbor-winner-20260715182626156",
"question": "Will the Democratic Senate primary winner in Washtenaw County, Michigan be determined by the 2026 primary election?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"elections",
"michigan",
"2026",
"primary",
"local-county"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 6,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 13598,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 85,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Washtenaw County",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Office of the Secretary of State",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "government of Washtenaw County",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}