MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin? (multi-deadline series, 2025-2027) [ resolves 2025-12 – 2027-01 ]
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?
polymarket: [C] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 5 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| In 2025 | 2025-12-31 | 0.0% | — | $17.98M | C | 0x19ee98…36a2 | ||
| By June 30, 2026 | 2026-07-01 | 100.0% | — | $8.42M | C | 0x8e7a03…ba00 | ||
| By May 31, 2026 | 2026-07-01 | 0.0% | $139.01M | $230.18M | C | 0x3733a1…3868 | ||
| By December 31, 2026 | 2027-01-01 | 100.0% | — | $2.25M | C | 0x8213d3…64b4 | ||
| By March 31, 2026 | — | 0.0% | — | $2.71M | C | 0x9a4db7…6cb0 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy sells any of its Bitcoin by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from MSTR and on-chain data, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | polymarket | 2027-01-01 | 100% |
| NO | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026? | polymarket | 2026-07-06 | 0% |
| YES | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | polymarket | 2026-07-01 | 100% |
| NO | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | polymarket | 2026-07-01 | 0% |
| NO | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025? | polymarket | 2025-12-31 | 0% |
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (5 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
- Traders write off a MicroStrategy Bitcoin sale by May 31 0% · $139M 24h
- 0% price signals market treats a forced sale as essentially impossible.
- $139M in 24h is 60% of all-time volume, extraordinary late-stage conviction flush.
- Resolution date already passed; surge reflects settlement flows and position close-out.
- Contract expires; volume likely final wash as all NO holders collect.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/microstrategy-sell-any-bitcoin-in-2025/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/microstrategy-sell-any-bitcoin-in-2025 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("microstrategy-sell-any-bitcoin-in-2025") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-QW6P6GZ8N4",
"slug": "microstrategy-sell-any-bitcoin-in-2025",
"question": "MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin? (multi-deadline series, 2025-2027)",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"microstrategy",
"bitcoin-holdings",
"crypto-assets",
"corporate-liquidation",
"2025"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 5,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 261532593,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 59,
"rcg_caps": [
"uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": null,
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}