Will a new French President be elected by the next scheduled French Presidential Election? [ resolves 2027-04-30 (331D) ]
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 27.0% | $13K | $1.00M | C | 0x116638…06be | ||
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 16.0% | $1.8K | $822K | C | 0x46f2f4…5ae8 | ||
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 11.0% | $788 | $651K | C | 0x174ea8…2be8 | ||
| Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 7.0% | $10K | $1.53M | C | 0x618953…ec3e | ||
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 5.0% | $2.7K | $643K | C | 0x812631…53aa | ||
| Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 4.4% | $8.4K | $1.32M | C | 0x20fd4c…aed1 | ||
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 3.8% | $2.1K | $1.11M | C | 0xa203cc…610b | ||
| Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 3.1% | $1.7K | $1.49M | C | 0xc32a54…be1d | ||
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 3.0% | $4.8K | $1.07M | C | 0xcfc6e0…8e1b | ||
| Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 2.1% | $3.8K | $1.39M | C | 0x12c5b5…8b81 | ||
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 1.9% | $31K | $1.27M | C | 0xce6105…8d56 | ||
| Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 1.2% | $885 | $1.03M | C | 0x934225…013f | ||
| Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 1.0% | $27K | $1.60M | C | 0x290b3a…3281 | ||
| Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.8% | $106 | $823K | C | 0x8c1faa…a93a | ||
| Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.7% | $61K | $2.57M | C | 0x0b4fdc…ce06 | ||
| Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.7% | $4.4K | $2.95M | C | 0x6ad632…3842 | ||
| Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.7% | $41K | $4.43M | C | 0xaba4bb…34fc | ||
| Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.7% | $8.4K | $1.45M | C | 0xca3f48…d855 | ||
| Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.7% | $35K | $2.17M | C | 0x4c799a…867c | ||
| Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.7% | $152K | $3.72M | C | 0xbac8d3…4b54 | ||
| Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.7% | $16K | $4.57M | C | 0xfd431e…0bd2 | ||
| Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.7% | $6.6K | $1.09M | C | 0xf39142…a316 | ||
| Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.7% | $2.3K | $1.53M | C | 0x4d5a2c…efe0 | ||
| Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.6% | $35K | $3.37M | C | 0x637a24…c47a | ||
| Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.6% | $29K | $3.09M | C | 0x2859bb…1c90 | ||
| Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.6% | $36K | $4.05M | C | 0x0b298a…e788 | ||
| Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.6% | $35K | $3.32M | C | 0xcd050c…533b | ||
| Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.6% | $48K | $3.77M | C | 0xa6c384…77ae | ||
| Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.6% | $30K | $3.94M | C | 0x06a27c…262d | ||
| Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.6% | $40K | $2.65M | C | 0xf88747…dd45 | ||
| Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.6% | $32K | $3.82M | C | 0x34ed4a…a136 | ||
| Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.6% | $40K | $3.59M | C | 0x2bf80d…caf0 | ||
| Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.6% | $32K | $4.00M | C | 0x6ccebb…7921 | ||
| Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.6% | $42K | $4.49M | C | 0x3a8209…c594 | ||
| Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.6% | $146K | $4.80M | C | 0x06ea9c…1a64 | ||
| Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.6% | $49K | $3.25M | C | 0x177955…11d3 | ||
| Will another person win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xb79718…6332 | ||
| Will Person F win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xac9719…b98f | ||
| Will Person H win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xc9763b…3293 | ||
| Will Person J win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xf273da…8f7c | ||
| Will Person L win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x5fa99b…2907 | ||
| Will Person N win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x754ab4…e920 | ||
| Will Person P win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xd148a6…807d | ||
| Will Person R win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x0bfccc…61ec | ||
| Will Person T win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x21998f…4994 | ||
| Will Person V win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xa709ff…5be7 | ||
| Will Person X win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xdd46ac…5ba3 | ||
| Will Person Z win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x6f3546…075f | ||
| Will Person AB win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xbce6c4…c907 | ||
| Will Person AD win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x35d374…3ba0 | ||
| Will Person AF win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x4f7b1b…6b74 | ||
| Will Person AH win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x5d897d…2109 | ||
| Will Person AJ win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xc1c039…9d34 | ||
| Will Person AL win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x835662…652d | ||
| Will Person AN win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xcdf910…f1c6 | ||
| Will Person AP win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x866ba6…63e9 | ||
| Will Person AR win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x0455d2…330e | ||
| Will Person AT win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x109bfc…0354 | ||
| Will Person AV win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xfa4668…f7d6 | ||
| Will Person AX win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x7b85cd…1e1a | ||
| Will Person AZ win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x2653b3…1946 | ||
| Will Person BB win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x43038e…8e99 | ||
| Will Person BD win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x869da6…ff35 | ||
| Will Person BF win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xc797bb…cb34 | ||
| Will Person BH win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xda408d…ca50 | ||
| Will Person BJ win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xcb126d…7e0f | ||
| Will Person BL win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x76377b…0e77 | ||
| Will Person BN win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xe5ab13…9df5 | ||
| Will Person BP win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x66cb99…13b6 | ||
| Will Person BR win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xf12cf4…d43e | ||
| Will Person BT win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xce7a6f…62ba | ||
| Will Person BV win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xd4c516…2fdc | ||
| Will Person BX win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x40ba73…d2d6 | ||
| Will Person BZ win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xc47892…99a1 | ||
| Will Person CB win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xbd9213…270d | ||
| Will Person CD win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x6b7c6a…7721 | ||
| Will Person CF win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x93f57e…c68e | ||
| Will Person CH win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xf1a040…2721 | ||
| Will Person CJ win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xc93d79…6f4d | ||
| Will Person CL win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x367add…4958 | ||
| Will Person CN win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x725b37…1f4b | ||
| Will Person CP win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x8e8b98…09f8 | ||
| Will Person E win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x53e78c…51a6 | ||
| Will Person G win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xae0bce…1a12 | ||
| Will Person I win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xf9f405…a479 | ||
| Will Person K win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x467ec6…e7dd | ||
| Will Person M win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xcb6397…7b5c | ||
| Will Person O win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xf294fb…5115 | ||
| Will Person Q win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xdefabb…af72 | ||
| Will Person S win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xc2331a…6f29 | ||
| Will Person U win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x93670b…41c3 | ||
| Will Person W win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x0dc499…3dc0 | ||
| Will Person Y win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x43c54f…f234 | ||
| Will Person AA win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x46d7a8…0cce | ||
| Will Person AC win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x9d81d9…1dea | ||
| Will Person AE win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xd3ddd5…bc52 | ||
| Will Person AG win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x1aee11…20f0 | ||
| Will Person AI win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x6b58f4…8a21 | ||
| Will Person AK win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x4b6382…858e | ||
| Will Person AM win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x6d5a07…fb29 | ||
| Will Person AO win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xde216b…f345 | ||
| Will Person AQ win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xbb9fd6…8f78 | ||
| Will Person AS win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x215522…03d9 | ||
| Will Person AU win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xbf4554…9598 | ||
| Will Person AW win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xa766ec…2e91 | ||
| Will Person AY win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x774e20…0ccf | ||
| Will Person BA win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x7cb1f3…ce9f | ||
| Will Person BC win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x794155…cabe | ||
| Will Person BE win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xc8f1ef…eda7 | ||
| Will Person BG win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xa638e2…81ce | ||
| Will Person BI win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x39c094…e0af | ||
| Will Person BK win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x034061…bb8f | ||
| Will Person BM win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x96f807…7326 | ||
| Will Person BO win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x734040…8034 | ||
| Will Person BQ win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x60acb7…b27f | ||
| Will Person BS win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x9fdcab…3071 | ||
| Will Person BU win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xad033f…e7d2 | ||
| Will Person BW win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x47f36a…d53f | ||
| Will Person BY win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xbd7336…73f6 | ||
| Will Person CA win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x0580da…1d4d | ||
| Will Person CC win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x8e9675…5106 | ||
| Will Person CE win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x68ff14…c925 | ||
| Will Person CG win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x4b9a25…0985 | ||
| Will Person CI win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xac1d81…9a89 | ||
| Will Person CK win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x402158…84e8 | ||
| Will Person CM win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x5d04dc…87a9 | ||
| Will Person CO win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xae4dcb…d852 | ||
| Will Person CQ win the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x15240f…898d |
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/next-french-presidential-election/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/next-french-presidential-election.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("next-french-presidential-election") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-GD1GGR4710",
"slug": "next-french-presidential-election",
"question": "Will a new French President be elected by the next scheduled French Presidential Election?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"elections",
"politics",
"france",
"2027",
"executive-office",
"western-europe"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 128,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 88365598,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 55,
"rcg_caps": [
"uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}