Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...? [ resolves 2026-08 – 2026-08 ]
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?
polymarket: [B] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 32 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The next Google Gemini Pro model be released on or prior to August 1, | 2026-08-02 | 1.0% | — | $44 | B | 0x9e7048…3b4f | ||
| The next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 2, | 2026-08-03 | 0.1% | — | $479 | B | 0x7d88fe…2784 | ||
| The next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 3, | 2026-08-04 | 0.2% | — | $496 | B | 0x791762…5a96 | ||
| The next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 4, | 2026-08-04 | 0.2% | $3.4K | $4.6K | B | 0xe085d9…02de | ||
| The next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 5, | 2026-08-05 | 0.1% | $293 | $1.1K | B | 0x37a031…9889 | ||
| The next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 6, | 2026-08-06 | 0.2% | $2.5K | $3.7K | B | 0x193162…2881 | ||
| The next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 7, | 2026-08-07 | 0.1% | $180 | $720 | B | 0xf864c3…5445 | ||
| The next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 8, | 2026-08-08 | 0.1% | $171 | $749 | B | 0xa0cf58…8790 | ||
| The next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 9, | 2026-08-09 | 0.1% | $423 | $1.0K | B | 0xd230a3…97a2 | ||
| The next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, | 2026-08-10 | 64.8% | $23K | $25K | B | 0x00124c…277e | ||
| The next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 11, | 2026-08-11 | 2.7% | $4.4K | $5.6K | B | 0xbc0b87…9828 | ||
| The next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 12, | 2026-08-12 | 3.9% | $3.4K | $4.6K | B | 0xf0c9ac…b95d | ||
| The next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 13, | 2026-08-13 | 2.8% | $3.0K | $4.2K | B | 0xe26cd1…4794 | ||
| The next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 14, | 2026-08-14 | 0.1% | $589 | $1.2K | B | 0xa4b59e…1b5b | ||
| The next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 15, | 2026-08-15 | 0.1% | $388 | $1.0K | B | 0x8788b0…9e9a | ||
| The next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 16, | 2026-08-16 | 0.1% | $446 | $1.1K | B | 0xfc7508…5b1f | ||
| The next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 17, | 2026-08-17 | 3.9% | $537 | $1.1K | B | 0x30c914…c174 | ||
| The next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 18, | 2026-08-18 | 1.0% | $1.3K | $2.2K | B | 0xa8635a…5f99 | ||
| The next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 19, | 2026-08-19 | 1.0% | $1.1K | $1.5K | B | 0x23f3d1…44aa | ||
| The next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 20, | 2026-08-20 | 1.0% | $1.1K | $1.5K | B | 0x4c9e49…bf6f | ||
| The next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 21, | 2026-08-21 | 0.1% | $451 | $877 | B | 0x82954c…7e61 | ||
| The next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 22, | 2026-08-22 | 0.1% | $643 | $905 | B | 0xb79a70…220f | ||
| The next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 23, | 2026-08-23 | 0.1% | $180 | $447 | B | 0xb0bdd9…beb4 | ||
| The next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 24, | 2026-08-24 | 0.2% | $1.1K | $1.3K | B | 0x51712a…58b7 | ||
| The next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 25, | 2026-08-25 | 0.2% | $928 | $2.5K | B | 0x74910c…49f6 | ||
| The next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 26, | 2026-08-26 | 0.2% | $977 | $1.2K | B | 0x87de6b…810d | ||
| The next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 27, | 2026-08-27 | 0.9% | $1.1K | $4.2K | B | 0x01da9f…3a00 | ||
| The next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 28, | 2026-08-28 | 0.1% | $180 | $447 | B | 0xc30fa3…6467 | ||
| The next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 29, | 2026-08-29 | 0.9% | $1.1K | $4.1K | B | 0x2b95ff…72e3 | ||
| The next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 30, | 2026-08-30 | 0.1% | — | $337 | B | 0x6a4e93…7c73 | ||
| There be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, | 2026-08-31 | 28.7% | $1.1K | $3.2K | B | 0x20ea0a…d5ff | ||
| The next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 31, | 2026-08-31 | 0.2% | $609 | $1.2K | B | 0xeb8cf2…d29a |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | not provided | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ none returned sources (2) · stated precedence rule
- official information from Google from rules text · editorial
- a consensus of credible reporting from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-onptptpt-20260729182045875/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-onptptpt-20260729182045875 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-onptptpt-20260729182045875") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-LY74RGQ3V6",
"slug": "next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-onptptpt-20260729182045875",
"question": "Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?",
"category": "technology",
"tags": [
"technology",
"ai",
"tech",
"google-gemini",
"model-release",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 32,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 82521,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
"rcg_score": 62,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Google",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "official information from Google",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}