Will there be a new High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina by the end of 2026? [ resolves 2026-12-31 (161D) ]
polymarket: [B] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 33 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| There be no | 2026-12-31 | 54.0% | $12 | $6.4K | B | 0x847364…7445 | ||
| Peter Sørensen be the | 2026-12-31 | 12.0% | — | $158 | B | 0xbe9fd0…3cf9 | ||
| Antonio Zanardi Landi be the | 2026-12-31 | 10.0% | $96 | $3.8K | B | 0xd96663…715f | ||
| René Troccaz be the | 2026-12-31 | 5.0% | $100 | $4.5K | B | 0x15a127…f2fa | ||
| Maurizio Massari be the | 2026-12-31 | 1.5% | — | $201 | B | 0xf36218…5999 | ||
| William Ruger be the | 2026-12-31 | 1.4% | — | $230 | B | 0x7ad6c7…4d66 | ||
| Louis J. Crishock be the | 2026-12-31 | 1.1% | — | $275 | B | 0x65291d…14ce | ||
| Person B be the | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xbf1e5e…afa5 | ||
| Person C be the | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x069d79…d70a | ||
| Person D be the | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xaeb1c9…8f23 | ||
| Person E be the | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xe04b86…3526 | ||
| Person F be the | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x0e43e7…c82c | ||
| Person G be the | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x1ebeae…404f | ||
| Person H be the | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x496382…5ccd | ||
| Person I be the | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xfbc545…f4af | ||
| Person J be the | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xb97c87…2592 | ||
| Person K be the | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xed1c3d…eeb1 | ||
| Person L be the | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xe86fd9…4633 | ||
| Person M be the | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x6f37f5…4608 | ||
| Person N be the | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x32c39a…cb2b | ||
| Person O be the | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x2f4644…ca1e | ||
| Person P be the | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x14a75a…9416 | ||
| Person Q be the | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x064654…c8f8 | ||
| Person R be the | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x8cacc7…1bfc | ||
| Person S be the | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x06e682…f2cd | ||
| Person T be the | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x6d23c6…b215 | ||
| Person U be the | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x6c96f7…7646 | ||
| Person V be the | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xf82b2c…7a3f | ||
| Person W be the | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x0ad672…2114 | ||
| Person X be the | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xb6362d…20e2 | ||
| Person Y be the | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x3945fa…61f9 | ||
| Person Z be the | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xbd346a…daae | ||
| Someone else be the | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x94acc5…c468 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | not provided | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by Peace Implementation Council Steering Board. Any acting, interim, or caretaker High Representative will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such High Representative is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No HR in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Peace Implementation Council Steering Board and the Office of the High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.ohr.int/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ none returned sources (3) · single authority
- ohr.int venue-listed
- Peace Implementation Council Steering Board from rules text · editorial
- Office of the High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/next-high-representative-for-bosnia-in-2026-20260705194510727/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/next-high-representative-for-bosnia-in-2026-20260705194510727 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("next-high-representative-for-bosnia-in-2026-20260705194510727") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-H7491LT1G4",
"slug": "next-high-representative-for-bosnia-in-2026-20260705194510727",
"question": "Will there be a new High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina by the end of 2026?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"bosnia-herzegovina",
"high-representative",
"international-appointments",
"politics",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 33,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 15600,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
"rcg_score": 68,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.ohr.int/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Peace Implementation Council Steering Board and the Office of the High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "ohr.int",
"url": "https://www.ohr.int/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Peace Implementation Council Steering Board",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "Office of the High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}