CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~3,330 EVENTS / ~30,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will there be a new High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina by the end of 2026? [ resolves 2026-12-31 (161D) ]

polymarket: [B] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 33 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
There be no 2026-12-31 54.0%
$12 $6.4K
B 0x847364…7445
Peter Sørensen be the 2026-12-31 12.0%
$158
B 0xbe9fd0…3cf9
Antonio Zanardi Landi be the 2026-12-31 10.0%
$96 $3.8K
B 0xd96663…715f
René Troccaz be the 2026-12-31 5.0%
$100 $4.5K
B 0x15a127…f2fa
Maurizio Massari be the 2026-12-31 1.5%
$201
B 0xf36218…5999
William Ruger be the 2026-12-31 1.4%
$230
B 0x7ad6c7…4d66
Louis J. Crishock be the 2026-12-31 1.1%
$275
B 0x65291d…14ce
Person B be the 2026-12-31 0.0%
B 0xbf1e5e…afa5
Person C be the 2026-12-31 0.0%
B 0x069d79…d70a
Person D be the 2026-12-31 0.0%
B 0xaeb1c9…8f23
Person E be the 2026-12-31 0.0%
B 0xe04b86…3526
Person F be the 2026-12-31 0.0%
B 0x0e43e7…c82c
Person G be the 2026-12-31 0.0%
B 0x1ebeae…404f
Person H be the 2026-12-31 0.0%
B 0x496382…5ccd
Person I be the 2026-12-31 0.0%
B 0xfbc545…f4af
Person J be the 2026-12-31 0.0%
B 0xb97c87…2592
Person K be the 2026-12-31 0.0%
B 0xed1c3d…eeb1
Person L be the 2026-12-31 0.0%
B 0xe86fd9…4633
Person M be the 2026-12-31 0.0%
B 0x6f37f5…4608
Person N be the 2026-12-31 0.0%
B 0x32c39a…cb2b
Person O be the 2026-12-31 0.0%
B 0x2f4644…ca1e
Person P be the 2026-12-31 0.0%
B 0x14a75a…9416
Person Q be the 2026-12-31 0.0%
B 0x064654…c8f8
Person R be the 2026-12-31 0.0%
B 0x8cacc7…1bfc
Person S be the 2026-12-31 0.0%
B 0x06e682…f2cd
Person T be the 2026-12-31 0.0%
B 0x6d23c6…b215
Person U be the 2026-12-31 0.0%
B 0x6c96f7…7646
Person V be the 2026-12-31 0.0%
B 0xf82b2c…7a3f
Person W be the 2026-12-31 0.0%
B 0x0ad672…2114
Person X be the 2026-12-31 0.0%
B 0xb6362d…20e2
Person Y be the 2026-12-31 0.0%
B 0x3945fa…61f9
Person Z be the 2026-12-31 0.0%
B 0xbd346a…daae
Someone else be the 2026-12-31 0.0%
B 0x94acc5…c468
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
polymarket Whitelisted Proposers not provided not provided Optimistic Oracle (UMA) Other
verbatim rules
polymarket 33 markets · share this text
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by Peace Implementation Council Steering Board. Any acting, interim, or caretaker High Representative will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such High Representative is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No HR in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Peace Implementation Council Steering Board and the Office of the High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.ohr.int/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
platform source field polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ none returned
sources (3) · single authority
  • ohr.int venue-listed
  • Peace Implementation Council Steering Board from rules text · editorial
  • Office of the High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/next-high-representative-for-bosnia-in-2026-20260705194510727/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/next-high-representative-for-bosnia-in-2026-20260705194510727
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("next-high-representative-for-bosnia-in-2026-20260705194510727")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-H7491LT1G4",
  "slug": "next-high-representative-for-bosnia-in-2026-20260705194510727",
  "question": "Will there be a new High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina by the end of 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "bosnia-herzegovina",
    "high-representative",
    "international-appointments",
    "politics",
    "2026"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 33,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 15600,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
  "rcg_score": 68,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": null,
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.ohr.int/",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "Peace Implementation Council Steering Board and the Office of the High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "ohr.int",
      "url": "https://www.ohr.int/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Peace Implementation Council Steering Board",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    {
      "name": "Office of the High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →