Who will be the next President of New Caledonia? [ resolves 2027-06-30 (342D) ]

polymarket: [B] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›

distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot

polymarket 39 markets

market	resolves	P(YES)	vol (24h)	vol (cum)	RCG	venue id
Milakulo Tukumuli	2027-06-30	97.5%	—	$7.3K	B	`0xedab00…4463`
Pierre Chanel Tutugoro	2027-06-30	0.7%	—	$4.5K	B	`0x3b96c4…9893`
Paul Néaoutyine	2027-06-30	0.3%	—	$1.8K	B	`0xf67eb7…2ba7`
Louis Mapou	2027-06-30	0.2%	—	$4.4K	B	`0xbfa1cb…eb07`
Alcide Ponga	2027-06-30	0.1%	—	$16K	B	`0xf6045d…36d8`
Sonia Backès	2027-06-30	0.1%	—	$6.9K	B	`0xf0175a…a641`
Virginie Ruffenach	2027-06-30	0.1%	—	$2.5K	B	`0x568a22…17c9`
Nicolas Metzdorf	2027-06-30	0.1%	—	$1.5K	B	`0x87a027…da6f`
Christopher Gygès	2027-06-30	0.1%	—	$1.7K	B	`0xb62b34…658d`
Johanito Wamytan	2027-06-30	0.1%	—	$2.0K	B	`0xc3d178…c0d4`
Pascal Sawa	2027-06-30	0.1%	—	$1.8K	B	`0xd02cc7…0e84`
Gilbert Tyuienon	2027-06-30	0.1%	—	$1.3K	B	`0xedb606…a9b8`
Gil Brial	2027-06-30	0.1%	—	$1.5K	B	`0xc35fd6…9e14`
Jean Pierre Djaïwé	2027-06-30	0.1%	—	$1.6K	B	`0x57158b…d728`
Person C	2027-06-30	0.0%	—	—	B	`0x5604ba…8ad1`
Person D	2027-06-30	0.0%	—	—	B	`0x0976de…33ac`
Person E	2027-06-30	0.0%	—	—	B	`0x6d4e22…e355`
Person F	2027-06-30	0.0%	—	—	B	`0x0c690f…a7f0`
Person G	2027-06-30	0.0%	—	—	B	`0x7cbda4…88dc`
Person H	2027-06-30	0.0%	—	—	B	`0x8c249a…5416`
Person I	2027-06-30	0.0%	—	—	B	`0x3a5723…ca26`
Person J	2027-06-30	0.0%	—	—	B	`0x419288…db94`
Person K	2027-06-30	0.0%	—	—	B	`0xb7f997…44ef`
Person L	2027-06-30	0.0%	—	—	B	`0x8582f3…e9fa`
Person M	2027-06-30	0.0%	—	—	B	`0x232b19…9d87`
Person N	2027-06-30	0.0%	—	—	B	`0x4f8c66…813a`
Person O	2027-06-30	0.0%	—	—	B	`0x5e3947…ca5b`
Person P	2027-06-30	0.0%	—	—	B	`0x913456…706f`
Person Q	2027-06-30	0.0%	—	—	B	`0xbdb5e6…f940`
Person R	2027-06-30	0.0%	—	—	B	`0x988a5a…2ff7`
Person S	2027-06-30	0.0%	—	—	B	`0x0e0859…bbaf`
Person T	2027-06-30	0.0%	—	—	B	`0x80093e…7a54`
Person U	2027-06-30	0.0%	—	—	B	`0x769fee…b903`
Person V	2027-06-30	0.0%	—	—	B	`0xf393a3…7cd9`
Person W	2027-06-30	0.0%	—	—	B	`0xe94c36…e5cc`
Person X	2027-06-30	0.0%	—	—	B	`0xe7f8c2…e0f9`
Person Y	2027-06-30	0.0%	—	—	B	`0xce76b2…79a0`
Person Z	2027-06-30	0.0%	—	—	B	`0xdd8f8c…fcb8`
Someone else	2027-06-30	0.0%	—	—	B	`0x29ca3c…fb6f`

resolution architecture

venue	proposer	source	citation	arbitration	class	analyst notes
polymarket	`Whitelisted Proposers`	not provided	not provided	`Optimistic Oracle (UMA)`	`Other`	—

verbatim rules

polymarket 39 markets · share this text

The 2026 New Caledonia provincial elections are currently scheduled to be held on June 28, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of the Government of New Caledonia by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as President of the Government of New Caledonia. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President takes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Caledonia (https://gouv.nc/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

platform source field polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ none returned

sources (3) · single authority

gouv.nc source of record venue-listed
Government of New Caledonia (https://gouv.nc/) from rules text · editorial
a consensus of credible reporting from rules text · editorial

recent wire items

monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTML	browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD `@type: Dataset`)	`https://clearmarket.fyi/events/next-president-of-new-caledonia-20260623011924109/`
JSON	REST API for developers	`https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/next-president-of-new-caledonia-20260623011924109`
MCP	agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)	`clearmarket.get_event("next-president-of-new-caledonia-20260623011924109")`
AGENT	AI crawler discovery index	`/llms.txt`

 Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
  raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
 {
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-8GG7WF9XH5",
  "slug": "next-president-of-new-caledonia-20260623011924109",
  "question": "Who will be the next President of New Caledonia?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "new-caledonia",
    "pacific-politics",
    "executive-leadership",
    "2027"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 39,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 54486,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
  "rcg_score": 66,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": null,
  "resolution_source_url": "https://gouv.nc/",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "gouv.nc",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "gouv.nc",
      "url": "https://gouv.nc/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Government of New Caledonia (https://gouv.nc/)",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    {
      "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}

snapshot 2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →