Who will be the President of the National Rally in 2026? [ resolves 2026-10 – 2027-01 ]
Will Jordan Bardella be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?
polymarket: [C] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 35 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Another person | 2026-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x906a7e…8847 | ||
| Placeholder 1 | 2026-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xa517ea…9fe9 | ||
| Placeholder 2 | 2026-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x52ef8e…3a9f | ||
| Placeholder 3 | 2026-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xa92065…9c80 | ||
| Placeholder 4 | 2026-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x8fd6fa…a9ac | ||
| Placeholder 5 | 2026-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x29f0e4…cd20 | ||
| Placeholder 6 | 2026-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xe1d93e…1e0a | ||
| Placeholder 7 | 2026-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xe70f30…94ba | ||
| Placeholder 8 | 2026-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xdb6964…0ffd | ||
| Placeholder 9 | 2026-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x804e48…f399 | ||
| Placeholder 10 | 2026-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x3f42be…0cb9 | ||
| Placeholder 11 | 2026-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xd31cc0…6886 | ||
| Placeholder 12 | 2026-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xe7b9b7…4c8a | ||
| Placeholder 13 | 2026-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x638cbf…0093 | ||
| Placeholder 14 | 2026-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x079ffc…e444 | ||
| Placeholder 15 | 2026-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xc8b704…3fed | ||
| Placeholder 16 | 2026-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x84ea35…18bb | ||
| Placeholder 17 | 2026-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x21e802…6b93 | ||
| Placeholder 18 | 2026-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x79d20a…ca94 | ||
| Placeholder 19 | 2026-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xeebd1a…f90b | ||
| Placeholder 20 | 2026-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xc863e4…c447 | ||
| Placeholder 21 | 2026-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x9d63ed…cac2 | ||
| Placeholder 22 | 2026-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xe93144…8d96 | ||
| Placeholder 23 | 2026-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xc033fb…fcf4 | ||
| Placeholder 24 | 2026-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xf70515…d5e1 | ||
| Placeholder 25 | 2026-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xb08960…7b27 | ||
| Placeholder 26 | 2026-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xfd9cf9…0ebc | ||
| Jordan Bardella | 2027-01-01 | 100.0% | — | $2.6K | C | 0xdc3836…c02b | ||
| Marine Le Pen | 2027-01-01 | 0.0% | — | $1.5K | C | 0x6d223b…8bdc | ||
| Louis Aliot | 2027-01-01 | 0.0% | — | $1.3K | C | 0x56d386…7135 | ||
| Sébastien Chenu | 2027-01-01 | 0.0% | — | $956 | C | 0x539497…d598 | ||
| David Rachline | 2027-01-01 | 0.0% | — | $1.1K | C | 0xee0107…0ef7 | ||
| Hélène Laporte | 2027-01-01 | 0.0% | — | $968 | C | 0x6407b1…450b | ||
| Jean-Philippe Tanguy | 2027-01-01 | 0.0% | — | $988 | C | 0xf67069…389a | ||
| Laurent Jacobelli | 2027-01-01 | 0.0% | — | $714 | C | 0x56ca2f…365f |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
The National Rally’s 2026 Congress is scheduled for October 24–25, 2026 in Orléans, where the results of the election for party president are expected to be announced.
This market will resolve to the individual who is officially announced as President of the National Rally following the National Rally’s 2026 Congress.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially elected, reelected, or otherwise announced by the National Rally as President of the National Rally following the 2026 Congress.
If no such President of the National Rally is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above sources (2)
official information from the National Rally from rules text a consensus of credible reporting from rules text
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | Will Jordan Bardella be the next President of the National Rally in 2026? | polymarket | 2026-10-25 | 100% |
| NO | Will Louis Aliot be the next President of the National Rally in 2026? | polymarket | 2026-10-25 | 0% |
| NO | Will David Rachline be the next President of the National Rally in 2026? | polymarket | 2026-10-25 | 0% |
| NO | Will Hélène Laporte be the next President of the National Rally in 2026? | polymarket | 2026-10-25 | 0% |
| NO | Will Jean-Philippe Tanguy be the next President of the National Rally in 2026? | polymarket | 2026-10-25 | 0% |
| NO | Will Laurent Jacobelli be the next President of the National Rally in 2026? | polymarket | 2026-10-25 | 0% |
| NO | Will Marine Le Pen be the next President of the National Rally in 2026? | polymarket | 2026-10-25 | 0% |
| NO | Will Sébastien Chenu be the next President of the National Rally in 2026? | polymarket | 2026-10-25 | 0% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (8 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/next-president-of-the-national-rally-in-2026-20260708193244734/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/next-president-of-the-national-rally-in-2026-20260708193244734 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("next-president-of-the-national-rally-in-2026-20260708193244734") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-3V825GFC57",
"slug": "next-president-of-the-national-rally-in-2026-20260708193244734",
"question": "Who will be the President of the National Rally in 2026?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"france",
"national-rally",
"leadership",
"2026",
"party-leadership"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 35,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 10175,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 56,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "official information from the National Rally",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}