Who will be the next Prime Minister of Greece? [ resolves 2027-12-31 (526D) ]

polymarket: [C] multiple sources, tie-break·objective outcome methodology ›

distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot

polymarket 61 markets

market	resolves	P(YES)	vol (24h)	vol (cum)	RCG	venue id
Kyriakos Mitsotakis	2027-12-31	89.0%	—	$6.6K	C	`0x2b202b…8653`
Alexis Tsipras	2027-12-31	5.0%	—	$409	C	`0x37a8a5…c09f`
Maria Karystianou	2027-12-31	5.0%	—	$44	C	`0xb2ef6f…57fa`
Kyriakos Velopoulos	2027-12-31	4.0%	—	$571	C	`0xe0afcb…159d`
Stefanos Kasselakis	2027-12-31	4.0%	—	$547	C	`0x63d21b…14c9`
Dimitris Koutsoumbas	2027-12-31	1.2%	—	$83	C	`0xaeb385…cad9`
Zoe Konstantopoulou	2027-12-31	0.9%	—	$905	C	`0x0770ba…4994`
Afroditi Latinopoulou	2027-12-31	0.8%	—	$375	C	`0xe071ba…c3bc`
Nikos Androulakis	2027-12-31	0.7%	—	$42	C	`0x4e4128…9be6`
Giannis Antetokounmpo	2027-12-31	0.3%	—	$1.8K	C	`0xc72438…01b2`
Yanis Varoufakis	2027-12-31	—	—	$85	C	`0x8c20c9…6225`
Person A	2027-12-31	0.0%	—	—	C	`0x250b82…48d6`
Person B	2027-12-31	0.0%	—	—	C	`0x07ec0a…9a22`
Person C	2027-12-31	0.0%	—	—	C	`0x45ef6a…2f68`
Person D	2027-12-31	0.0%	—	—	C	`0x613d85…e523`
Person E	2027-12-31	0.0%	—	—	C	`0x5a84e9…86f1`
Person F	2027-12-31	0.0%	—	—	C	`0xb2ffb7…caf9`
Person G	2027-12-31	0.0%	—	—	C	`0x95fb34…71b6`
Person H	2027-12-31	0.0%	—	—	C	`0x8ba3a6…ce73`
Person I	2027-12-31	0.0%	—	—	C	`0xab7c41…6f8b`
Person J	2027-12-31	0.0%	—	—	C	`0x6a9d09…dde1`
Person K	2027-12-31	0.0%	—	—	C	`0xdef2d2…d5f5`
Person L	2027-12-31	0.0%	—	—	C	`0x3880ab…4e40`
Person M	2027-12-31	0.0%	—	—	C	`0xadc306…3856`
Person N	2027-12-31	0.0%	—	—	C	`0x9f63b8…1cba`
Person O	2027-12-31	0.0%	—	—	C	`0x229f8e…aeca`
Person P	2027-12-31	0.0%	—	—	C	`0x6df225…5f2a`
Person Q	2027-12-31	0.0%	—	—	C	`0x9ee21c…e873`
Person R	2027-12-31	0.0%	—	—	C	`0x498ab4…1178`
Person S	2027-12-31	0.0%	—	—	C	`0x54d020…59b0`
Person T	2027-12-31	0.0%	—	—	C	`0xa7c0a7…101f`
Person U	2027-12-31	0.0%	—	—	C	`0xccabc2…d9f4`
Person V	2027-12-31	0.0%	—	—	C	`0xeaedfb…efef`
Person W	2027-12-31	0.0%	—	—	C	`0xc50418…1bcf`
Person X	2027-12-31	0.0%	—	—	C	`0x7825b5…28df`
Person Y	2027-12-31	0.0%	—	—	C	`0xa5b34c…fa6f`
Person Z	2027-12-31	0.0%	—	—	C	`0x793ced…0644`
Person AA	2027-12-31	0.0%	—	—	C	`0x700147…f81f`
Person AB	2027-12-31	0.0%	—	—	C	`0x16c34c…c3a6`
Person AC	2027-12-31	0.0%	—	—	C	`0x65864e…409e`
Person AD	2027-12-31	0.0%	—	—	C	`0xb8d2ff…af3c`
Person AE	2027-12-31	0.0%	—	—	C	`0x861621…5d4c`
Person AF	2027-12-31	0.0%	—	—	C	`0xc7be29…162b`
Person AG	2027-12-31	0.0%	—	—	C	`0x5dd40f…085b`
Person AH	2027-12-31	0.0%	—	—	C	`0x3724e3…a783`
Person AI	2027-12-31	0.0%	—	—	C	`0x89fa88…d8dd`
Person AJ	2027-12-31	0.0%	—	—	C	`0xfc124c…90fa`
Person AK	2027-12-31	0.0%	—	—	C	`0x84d26f…c67b`
Person AL	2027-12-31	0.0%	—	—	C	`0x766365…0eb0`
Person AM	2027-12-31	0.0%	—	—	C	`0xeeb29c…7feb`
Person AN	2027-12-31	0.0%	—	—	C	`0x892a08…bad0`
Person AO	2027-12-31	0.0%	—	—	C	`0x4bf6eb…8ac2`
Person AP	2027-12-31	0.0%	—	—	C	`0x1704c5…c52f`
Person AQ	2027-12-31	0.0%	—	—	C	`0x49dfb3…5d39`
Person AR	2027-12-31	0.0%	—	—	C	`0xcc5000…4c51`
Person AS	2027-12-31	0.0%	—	—	C	`0x9b515f…19cf`
Person AT	2027-12-31	0.0%	—	—	C	`0x03f500…7925`
Person AU	2027-12-31	0.0%	—	—	C	`0x906095…5696`
Person AV	2027-12-31	0.0%	—	—	C	`0xa70ff4…27eb`
Person AW	2027-12-31	0.0%	—	—	C	`0xa35584…8ffb`
Someone else	2027-12-31	0.0%	—	—	C	`0xd4386c…0e9f`

resolution architecture

venue	proposer	source	citation	arbitration	class	analyst notes
polymarket	`Whitelisted Proposers`	uncommitted	not provided	`Optimistic Oracle (UMA)`	`Other`	—

verbatim rules

polymarket 61 markets · share this text

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Greece following the next parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in by the specified date. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Greek government.

platform source field polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above

sources (2)

a consensus of credible reporting from rules text · editorial
official information from the Greek government from rules text · editorial

recent wire items

monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTML	browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD `@type: Dataset`)	`https://clearmarket.fyi/events/next-prime-minister-of-greece-20260714160853421/`
JSON	REST API for developers	`https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/next-prime-minister-of-greece-20260714160853421`
MCP	agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)	`clearmarket.get_event("next-prime-minister-of-greece-20260714160853421")`
AGENT	AI crawler discovery index	`/llms.txt`

 Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
  raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
 {
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-4W2MRD1Q00",
  "slug": "next-prime-minister-of-greece-20260714160853421",
  "question": "Who will be the next Prime Minister of Greece?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "greece",
    "executive-leadership",
    "2027"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 61,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 11463,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 70,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
  ],
  "resolution_source": null,
  "resolution_source_url": null,
  "source_status": "no_committed_source",
  "source_of_record": null,
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    {
      "name": "official information from the Greek government",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}

snapshot 2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →