Who will be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? [ resolves 2028-06-30 (708D) ]
polymarket: [C] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 53 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aleksandar Vučić | 2028-06-30 | 72.0% | — | $9.7K | C | 0x9639a6…aa32 | ||
| Ana Brnabić | 2028-06-30 | 16.0% | — | $5.7K | C | 0x6678c4…0213 | ||
| Miloš Vučević | 2028-06-30 | 6.0% | — | $2.8K | C | 0x60390f…95a6 | ||
| Ivica Dačić | 2028-06-30 | 2.2% | — | $700 | C | 0xcd389d…cfdf | ||
| Dragan Đilas | 2028-06-30 | 1.1% | — | $797 | C | 0x098b8b…1479 | ||
| Stefan Krkobabić | 2028-06-30 | 0.8% | — | $826 | C | 0xd1e975…09f0 | ||
| Branimir Jovanović | 2028-06-30 | 0.6% | — | $707 | C | 0x6db5dd…c9ad | ||
| Đuro Macut | 2028-06-30 | 0.5% | — | $661 | C | 0x465b4f…adc2 | ||
| Person A | 2028-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xab1cc9…37eb | ||
| Person B | 2028-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x757431…1f33 | ||
| Person C | 2028-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x0a9dca…7575 | ||
| Person D | 2028-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x280f8e…50d9 | ||
| Person E | 2028-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xc45234…963f | ||
| Person F | 2028-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x9ab3f2…dc0e | ||
| Person G | 2028-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x5ad9e5…980a | ||
| Person H | 2028-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xf35270…58c1 | ||
| Person I | 2028-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xfaa4eb…0636 | ||
| Person J | 2028-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x3fc0f8…52c1 | ||
| Person K | 2028-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xeb8f0c…140f | ||
| Person L | 2028-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xc2b146…cc93 | ||
| Person M | 2028-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xd0275e…7c1e | ||
| Person N | 2028-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xe52759…c9e0 | ||
| Person O | 2028-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x47859c…e7e9 | ||
| Person P | 2028-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x8f0337…98a6 | ||
| Person Q | 2028-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x4262f2…b01e | ||
| Person R | 2028-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x96a04c…9392 | ||
| Person S | 2028-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x83ac99…142c | ||
| Person T | 2028-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xa7bf57…6b75 | ||
| Person U | 2028-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xb68db1…8209 | ||
| Person V | 2028-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xb3c606…d238 | ||
| Person W | 2028-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xbcce79…8431 | ||
| Person X | 2028-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x26929a…b6e1 | ||
| Person Y | 2028-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xc8836c…7bdb | ||
| Person Z | 2028-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x1919a8…56a5 | ||
| Person AA | 2028-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xcda0f7…5ffa | ||
| Person AB | 2028-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x55fc3a…9391 | ||
| Person AC | 2028-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xc541a6…5107 | ||
| Person AD | 2028-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xbdfb14…bc42 | ||
| Person AE | 2028-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xd2f41c…be9d | ||
| Person AF | 2028-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x59f9bc…e967 | ||
| Person AG | 2028-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x3841a3…2808 | ||
| Person AH | 2028-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x352ca7…dcae | ||
| Person AI | 2028-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x4d9707…c309 | ||
| Person AJ | 2028-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x761e9b…6f06 | ||
| Person AK | 2028-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x4f4db1…aadd | ||
| Person AL | 2028-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xdf480e…6fd8 | ||
| Person AM | 2028-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x63a82c…8651 | ||
| Person AN | 2028-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x68d3a9…f8f0 | ||
| Person AO | 2028-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x662323…0201 | ||
| Person AP | 2028-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xd9aeb8…08fb | ||
| Person AQ | 2028-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x42a02f…1b47 | ||
| Person AR | 2028-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xb24a08…7d1c | ||
| Someone else | 2028-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xa11147…9bdc |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be elected by the National Assembly and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who is not elected by the National Assembly will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Serbian government.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above sources (1)
- official information from the Serbian government from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/next-prime-minister-of-serbia-20260629223938642/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/next-prime-minister-of-serbia-20260629223938642 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("next-prime-minister-of-serbia-20260629223938642") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-M83JWLZV30",
"slug": "next-prime-minister-of-serbia-20260629223938642",
"question": "Who will be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"elections",
"serbia",
"prime-minister",
"2028",
"executive-succession"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 53,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 21882,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 59,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "official information from the Serbian government",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}