Will the next Prime Minister of Sweden be someone other than the current Prime Minister by September 13, 2026? [ resolves 2026-09-13 (69D) ]
polymarket: [C] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 36 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magdalena Andersson | 2026-09-13 | 75.0% | $634 | $85K | C | 0x58d5cc…2a64 | ||
| Ulf Kristersson | 2026-09-13 | 23.0% | $278 | $83K | C | 0x8a42bb…8894 | ||
| Jimmie Åkesson | 2026-09-13 | 1.8% | — | $1.36M | C | 0x86fa23…abfd | ||
| Ebba Busch | 2026-09-13 | 0.3% | — | $290K | C | 0xa5b2b9…139e | ||
| Anna-Karin Hatt | 2026-09-13 | 0.2% | — | $25K | C | 0x97c143…a761 | ||
| Nooshi Dadgostar | 2026-09-13 | 0.1% | — | $27K | C | 0xe7a227…fd27 | ||
| Amanda Lind | 2026-09-13 | 0.1% | — | $41K | C | 0xaae2b1…3a67 | ||
| Simona Mohamsson | 2026-09-13 | 0.1% | — | $71K | C | 0x1fd46f…4c60 | ||
| Daniel Helldén | 2026-09-13 | 0.1% | — | $66K | C | 0x7767ed…3825 | ||
| Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist | 2026-09-13 | 0.1% | — | $24K | C | 0x39272d…f5c9 | ||
| Candidate B | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x36e688…8a6b | ||
| Candidate F | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x3579c3…718d | ||
| Candidate G | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x44ca17…a740 | ||
| Candidate P | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x0d5971…0c56 | ||
| Candidate R | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x606c50…a836 | ||
| Candidate T | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x195f64…d165 | ||
| Candidate Z | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x188457…bb05 | ||
| Candidate C | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x600d2d…b855 | ||
| Candidate K | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xcd7a9d…4f4b | ||
| Candidate M | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x343e9f…6648 | ||
| Candidate X | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x669a47…9df9 | ||
| Candidate Y | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x58c871…2da8 | ||
| Candidate E | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x62c97f…4403 | ||
| Candidate H | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xe92282…eb6c | ||
| Candidate O | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xf38401…fb8a | ||
| Candidate Q | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xf15449…f1fb | ||
| Candidate S | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x0b34da…5011 | ||
| Candidate U | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xe97d05…a8db | ||
| Candidate V | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x3077e8…403e | ||
| Another candidate | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xde9703…f076 | ||
| Candidate D | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x736619…3bc4 | ||
| Candidate I | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xf54f78…e298 | ||
| Candidate J | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x0c294b…f7ad | ||
| Candidate L | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xec5d7f…8411 | ||
| Candidate N | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xf66835…1098 | ||
| Candidate W | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x9ce7b1…8949 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above sources (2)
- Government of Sweden from rules text · editorial
- credible reporting from rules text · editorial
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| closed | Will Candidate B be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | polymarket | 2026-09-13 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate F be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | polymarket | 2026-09-13 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate G be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | polymarket | 2026-09-13 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate P be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | polymarket | 2026-09-13 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate R be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | polymarket | 2026-09-13 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate T be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | polymarket | 2026-09-13 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate Z be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | polymarket | 2026-09-13 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate C be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | polymarket | 2026-09-13 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate K be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | polymarket | 2026-09-13 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate M be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | polymarket | 2026-09-13 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate X be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | polymarket | 2026-09-13 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate Y be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | polymarket | 2026-09-13 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate E be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | polymarket | 2026-09-13 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate H be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | polymarket | 2026-09-13 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate O be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | polymarket | 2026-09-13 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate Q be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | polymarket | 2026-09-13 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate S be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | polymarket | 2026-09-13 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate U be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | polymarket | 2026-09-13 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate V be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | polymarket | 2026-09-13 | — |
| closed | Will another candidate be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | polymarket | 2026-09-13 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate D be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | polymarket | 2026-09-13 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate I be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | polymarket | 2026-09-13 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate J be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | polymarket | 2026-09-13 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate L be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | polymarket | 2026-09-13 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate N be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | polymarket | 2026-09-13 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate W be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | polymarket | 2026-09-13 | — |
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (26 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/next-prime-minister-of-sweden/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/next-prime-minister-of-sweden |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("next-prime-minister-of-sweden") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-ZZP9SJ1045",
"slug": "next-prime-minister-of-sweden",
"question": "Will the next Prime Minister of Sweden be someone other than the current Prime Minister by September 13, 2026?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"elections",
"politics",
"sweden",
"prime-minister",
"2026",
"government-leadership"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 36,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 2076564,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 55,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Government of Sweden",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "credible reporting",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}