Who will be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands? [ resolves 2026-08-12 (8D) ]
polymarket: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 30 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Brown | 2026-08-12 | 85.0% | $1.8K | $9.2K | C | 0xc3891a…049e | ||
| Tina Browne | 2026-08-12 | 7.0% | $35 | $4.4K | C | 0x3d0607…166f | ||
| Teariki Heather | 2026-08-12 | 0.6% | — | $1.8K | C | 0x669f7f…9cfa | ||
| Person A | 2026-08-12 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xbd70d6…9b7d | ||
| Person B | 2026-08-12 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x33760b…76dd | ||
| Person C | 2026-08-12 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xfa8215…6ecf | ||
| Person D | 2026-08-12 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x2992dd…8315 | ||
| Person E | 2026-08-12 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xfd13b4…3533 | ||
| Person F | 2026-08-12 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xd973f9…f765 | ||
| Person G | 2026-08-12 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x871b2c…7f20 | ||
| Person H | 2026-08-12 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xb5a615…6737 | ||
| Person I | 2026-08-12 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x6d1728…b021 | ||
| Person J | 2026-08-12 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xf0a854…3278 | ||
| Person K | 2026-08-12 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xb2ba88…7ca1 | ||
| Person L | 2026-08-12 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xa45d5f…024f | ||
| Person M | 2026-08-12 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x4df50d…6749 | ||
| Person N | 2026-08-12 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xb24ca0…e9ba | ||
| Person O | 2026-08-12 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x86e360…ccd1 | ||
| Person P | 2026-08-12 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x0bc23b…be8f | ||
| Person Q | 2026-08-12 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xbce402…4552 | ||
| Person R | 2026-08-12 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xb174ee…b0f9 | ||
| Person S | 2026-08-12 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xc8df75…23df | ||
| Person T | 2026-08-12 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x925b2b…701b | ||
| Person U | 2026-08-12 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x0a6ef3…453f | ||
| Person V | 2026-08-12 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x55ab83…a90c | ||
| Person W | 2026-08-12 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xafb8ff…cd1b | ||
| Person X | 2026-08-12 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x63162d…eca0 | ||
| Person Y | 2026-08-12 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x33149e…ef46 | ||
| Person Z | 2026-08-12 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x473a05…b930 | ||
| Someone else | 2026-08-12 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xe3be1c…57d7 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above sources (1)
- Government of Cook Islands from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/next-prime-minister-of-the-cook-islands-20260715193547852/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/next-prime-minister-of-the-cook-islands-20260715193547852 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("next-prime-minister-of-the-cook-islands-20260715193547852") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-NVWMTVF6T7",
"slug": "next-prime-minister-of-the-cook-islands-20260715193547852",
"question": "Who will be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"elections",
"cook-islands",
"leadership",
"oceania",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 30,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 15403,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 74,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Government of Cook Islands",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}