CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~3,330 EVENTS / ~30,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will the next Romania Prime Minister be appointed in 2026? (multi-deadline series) [ resolves 2026-07 – 2026-12 ]

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by July 31?

polymarket: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
markets · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 2 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
July 2026-07-31 4.0%
$15K
C 0x8d1d6e…2830
December 2026-12-31 90.7%
$5.7K
C 0x3e2756…b680
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
polymarket Whitelisted Proposers uncommitted not provided Optimistic Oracle (UMA) Other
verbatim rules
polymarket 2 markets · share this text
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next Prime Minister of Romania is officially appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To count for resolution, the individual must be approved by the Romanian Parliament and officially sworn in as Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. Nomination for parliamentary consideration by the President will not count. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
platform source field polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above
sources (2)
  • official information from the Government of Romania from rules text · editorial
  • a consensus of credible reporting from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/next-romania-pm-appointed-by-20260623155722428/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/next-romania-pm-appointed-by-20260623155722428
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("next-romania-pm-appointed-by-20260623155722428")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-TVSDHSG7Y6",
  "slug": "next-romania-pm-appointed-by-20260623155722428",
  "question": "Will the next Romania Prime Minister be appointed in 2026? (multi-deadline series)",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "romania",
    "executive-appointment",
    "government-formation",
    "2026"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 2,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 21163,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 71,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
  ],
  "resolution_source": null,
  "resolution_source_url": null,
  "source_status": "no_committed_source",
  "source_of_record": null,
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "official information from the Government of Romania",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    {
      "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →