Will there be a token sale on Coinbase by 2026? [ resolves 2026-07 – 2027-01 ]
Next Token Sale on Coinbase by November 30, 2026?
polymarket: [B] multiple sources, tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 7 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, | 2026-07-01 | 0.1% | — | $2.9K | B | 0x80e2a5…13ff | ||
| November 30, | 2027-01-01 | 34.0% | — | $626 | B | 0xcd0ec6…8d7d | ||
| December 31, | 2027-01-01 | 28.0% | — | $1.6K | B | 0x3835a0…76f3 | ||
| October 31, | 2027-01-01 | 21.0% | — | $1.1K | B | 0x752cf4…491b | ||
| September 30, | 2027-01-01 | 15.0% | — | $938 | B | 0x689ba2…0ee5 | ||
| August 31, | 2027-01-01 | 12.0% | — | $1.4K | B | 0xfc6b19…5da0 | ||
| July 31, | 2027-01-01 | 6.0% | — | $2.0K | B | 0x7b15b7…4652 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | not provided | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a qualifying Coinbase token sale request window goes live between the creation of this market and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify, a Coinbase token sale request window must be live and actively accepting commitments.
Qualifying sales must be hosted directly by Coinbase on coinbase.com/token-sales or any official successor page within the Coinbase app or website. Sales run on a project's own site via Sonar, Echo, or any Coinbase-powered white-label technology do not qualify, regardless of affiliation. Private sales, airdrops, standard exchange listings, and any sale without a dedicated public request window do not qualify. Sale announcements, previews, and waitlists do not constitute a live request window. A request window that opens and is subsequently cancelled, paused, or suspended still resolves to "Yes" — post-opening outcomes including cancellation, refunds, pauses, or failure to distribute tokens do not affect resolution. If a sale is announced but the request window never opens, or a token is listed directly without a request window, this market resolves to "No".
The resolution source is coinbase.com/token-sales, official Coinbase blog posts, or @Coinbase/@CoinbaseMarkets on X, corroborated by credible news sources.
platform source field
polymarket.description → coinbase.com/token-sales sources (4) · stated precedence rule
- coinbase.com venue-listed
- coinbase.com/token-sales source of record from rules text · editorial
- official Coinbase blog posts from rules text · editorial
- @Coinbase/@CoinbaseMarkets on X from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/next-token-sale-on-coinbase-by/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/next-token-sale-on-coinbase-by |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("next-token-sale-on-coinbase-by") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-7QB5RS5KM2",
"slug": "next-token-sale-on-coinbase-by",
"question": "Will there be a token sale on Coinbase by 2026?",
"category": "crypto",
"tags": [
"crypto",
"token-sale",
"coinbase",
"2027",
"listing-event",
"market-mechanism"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 7,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 10521,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
"rcg_score": 74,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "coinbase.com/token-sales",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "coinbase.com/token-sales",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "coinbase.com",
"url": "coinbase.com/token-sales",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "coinbase.com/token-sales",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "official Coinbase blog posts",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "@Coinbase/@CoinbaseMarkets on X",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}