Will the Nobel Peace Prize be awarded to a specific entity in 2026? [ resolves 2026-10-10 (96D) ]

{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-32G70C4SZ5",
  "slug": "nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139",
  "question": "Will the Nobel Peace Prize be awarded to a specific entity in 2026?",
  "category": "geopolitics",
  "tags": [
    "nobel-peace-prize",
    "geopolitics",
    "politics",
    "international-awards",
    "2026"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "market_count": 71,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 20076397,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 84,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": null,
  "resolution_source_url": null,
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "Norwegian Nobel Committee",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "Norwegian Nobel Committee",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
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    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
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    "venues_covered": {
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  }
}