Will the New York Times win its lawsuit against OpenAI? [ resolves 2028-01-01 (544D) ]
Will a court find that OpenAI has infringed the copyright of the New York Times?
kalshi: [B] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
markets · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 1 market
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a court find that OpenAI has infringed the copyright of the New York Times | 2028-01-01 | 58.0% | $8 | $31K | B | NYTOAI-27DEC31 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | PACER | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the Southern District of New York has found OpenAI liable for copyright infringement (or any of the counts alleged by the Times), then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "PACER" sources (1) · single authority
- PACER source of record venue-listed
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/nytoai-27dec31/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/nytoai-27dec31 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("nytoai-27dec31") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-S0469GN0T2",
"slug": "nytoai-27dec31",
"question": "Will the New York Times win its lawsuit against OpenAI?",
"category": "technology",
"tags": [
"technology",
"nyt-vs-openai",
"copyright-infringement",
"ai-litigation",
"intellectual-property",
"2028"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 1,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 31021,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
"rcg_score": 71,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "PACER",
"resolution_source_url": "https://pacer.uscourts.gov/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "PACER",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "PACER",
"url": "https://pacer.uscourts.gov/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}