Will o1's FDV be above $1 trillion one day after launch? [ resolves 2028-01-01 (577D) ]
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ $100,000,000 | 2028-01-01 | 78.0% | $1.1K | $87K | C | 0xd638c6…c7e3 | ||
| ≥ $200,000,000 | 2028-01-01 | 42.0% | $128 | $5.5K | C | 0xf3400b…11e2 | ||
| ≥ $300,000,000 | 2028-01-01 | 23.0% | — | $801 | C | 0xf000e6…1de2 | ||
| ≥ $400,000,000 | 2028-01-01 | 63.0% | — | $153 | C | 0xfb9a43…d8aa | ||
| ≥ $500,000,000 | 2028-01-01 | — | — | $91 | C | 0x001684…1210 | ||
| ≥ $700,000,000 | 2028-01-01 | — | — | $58 | C | 0x1d0f4f…be0f | ||
| ≥ $1,000,000,000 | 2028-01-01 | 17.2% | $16 | $1.0K | C | 0xeeb63b…dfea |
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | x.com | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
polymarket.description → https://x.com/o1_exchange No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/o1-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/o1-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("o1-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-QWZZ0YHSP8",
"slug": "o1-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch",
"question": "Will o1's FDV be above $1 trillion one day after launch?",
"category": "crypto",
"tags": [
"crypto",
"token-launch",
"valuation-metrics",
"o1-ai",
"2028"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 7,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 94747,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 50,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
],
"resolution_source": "x.com",
"resolution_source_url": "https://x.com/o1_exchange",
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}