Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? [ resolves — ]

Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?

polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›

distribution · by resolution date

polymarket 6 markets

market	resolves	P(YES)	vol (24h)	vol (cum)	RCG	venue id
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2025	—	100.0%	—	$496K	C	`0x8da154…98bc`
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026	—	71.0%	$3.5K	$626K	C	`0x66f5b8…3432`
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026	—	40.0%	$2.2K	$27K	C	`0x23e522…3c63`
Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026	—	8.5%	$816	$36K	C	`0x8e5b3c…d04c`
Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026	—	2.9%	$1.6K	$40K	C	`0x1146a9…5833`
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026	—	1.2%	$9.2K	$592K	C	`0x753e60…dd58`

resolution architecture

venue	proposer	source	citation	arbitration	class	analyst notes
polymarket	`Whitelisted Proposers`	uncommitted	not provided	`Optimistic Oracle (UMA)`	`Other`	—

verbatim rules

polymarket 6 markets · share this text

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

platform source field polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above

recent wire items

monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTML	browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD `@type: Dataset`)	`https://clearmarket.fyi/events/openai-ipo-by/`
JSON	REST API for developers	`https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/openai-ipo-by.json`
MCP	agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)	`clearmarket.get_event("openai-ipo-by")`
AGENT	AI crawler discovery index	`/llms.txt`

 Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
  raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
 {
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-1J5WJ8DGM8",
  "slug": "openai-ipo-by",
  "question": "Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?",
  "category": "technology",
  "tags": [
    "technology",
    "openai-ipo",
    "tech-ipo",
    "ai-industry",
    "corporate-finance",
    "public-markets"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 6,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 1816454,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 50,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
  ],
  "resolution_source": null,
  "resolution_source_url": null,
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}

snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →