Will Wolfgang Beckmann win the Osnabrück mayoral election? [ resolves 2026-09-13 (40D) ]
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 21 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharina Pötter | 2026-09-13 | 55.0% | $150 | $29K | C | 0x485662…ff0e | ||
| Robert Alferink | 2026-09-13 | 37.0% | — | $6.2K | C | 0x80c1de…d3f5 | ||
| Volker Bajus | 2026-09-13 | 12.8% | — | $589 | C | 0x57e94b…1b10 | ||
| Oliver Hasskamp | 2026-09-13 | 2.3% | $6 | $410 | C | 0xdb690b…004f | ||
| Thorsten Wassermann | 2026-09-13 | 0.3% | — | $404 | C | 0x9603cc…8719 | ||
| Thomas Groß | 2026-09-13 | 0.2% | $3 | $279 | C | 0x2aef71…fdbf | ||
| Another candidate | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x2a152f…1a9f | ||
| Person A | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xcf45f1…2d5c | ||
| Person B | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xbca716…d9e4 | ||
| Person C | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xb6c198…896b | ||
| Person D | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x0ac3ce…91ef | ||
| Person E | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x23cdb6…6f42 | ||
| Person F | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xc7377c…fcd9 | ||
| Person G | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xbb0590…7ebe | ||
| Person H | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x35f188…e62d | ||
| Person I | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x94a842…18e3 | ||
| Person J | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x70ee72…5737 | ||
| Person K | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x707da8…b18e | ||
| Person L | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x1a336a…0d5d | ||
| Person M | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x5f5e22…a438 | ||
| Person N | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x157524…c24f |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above sources (2)
- a consensus of credible reporting from rules text · editorial
- official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/osnabruck-mayoral-election-winner-20260723172818472/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/osnabruck-mayoral-election-winner-20260723172818472 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("osnabruck-mayoral-election-winner-20260723172818472") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-BZZ69GGL67",
"slug": "osnabruck-mayoral-election-winner-20260723172818472",
"question": "Will Wolfgang Beckmann win the Osnabrück mayoral election?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"elections",
"germany",
"local-government",
"2026",
"mayor"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 21,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 36647,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 60,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}