Will Peru's 2nd round election turnout exceed 75% by the official results announcement? [ resolves 2026-06-07 (4D) ]
polymarket: [A] multiple sources, tie-break·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike
polymarket 5 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be… | 2026-06-07 | 61.0% | $1.1K | $4.8K | A | 0x1efbff…30fc | ||
| Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be… | 2026-06-07 | 34.0% | $1.5K | $4.9K | A | 0x5d028e…b84f | ||
| ≤ 70% | 2026-06-07 | 6.9% | $731 | $2.8K | A | 0x2706ea…164a | ||
| Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be… | 2026-06-07 | 4.2% | $1.0K | $13K | A | 0xd03e7d…0172 | ||
| ≥ 85% | 2026-06-07 | 0.4% | $308 | $9.1K | A | 0xcf6813…debb |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | onpe.gob.pe | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the second round Peru presidential election, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the second-round Presidential (Presidencial) election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
platform source field
polymarket.description → https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/ recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/peru-election-2nd-round-turnout/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/peru-election-2nd-round-turnout.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("peru-election-2nd-round-turnout") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-FYZ6GTFFR6",
"slug": "peru-election-2nd-round-turnout",
"question": "Will Peru's 2nd round election turnout exceed 75% by the official results announcement?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"elections",
"politics",
"peru",
"turnout",
"2026",
"voting-participation"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 5,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 34705,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 82,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "onpe.gob.pe",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/",
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}