Will Peru's presidential election be invalidated by July 31, 2026? [ resolves 2026-07-31 (8D) ]
Peru Presidential Election Invalidated?
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
markets · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 1 market
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peru Presidential Election Invalidated | 2026-07-31 | 0.2% | $10 | $72K | C | 0x8042f9…0b5d |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
The second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections were held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections are officially invalidated by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Such invalidation must occur through authorized officials, government agencies, or competent state entities with the legal authority to nullify election results, for example through a ruling by the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) or a binding decision by the Constitutional Court of Peru (Tribunal Constitucional del Perú, TCP) that results in the annulment or re-run of the election.
A “Yes” resolution will also occur if a new general election or runoff is officially scheduled by the relevant Peruvian authorities by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, in a manner that explicitly supersedes or replaces the June 7, 2026, election.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Peru, including the JNE and TCP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above sources (3)
- official information from the government of Peru, including the JNE and TCP from rules text · editorial
- National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) from rules text · editorial
- Constitutional Court of Peru (Tribunal Constitucional del Perú, TCP) from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/peru-presidential-election-invalidated-20260608171643979/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/peru-presidential-election-invalidated-20260608171643979 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("peru-presidential-election-invalidated-20260608171643979") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-3HH3HPM3L2",
"slug": "peru-presidential-election-invalidated-20260608171643979",
"question": "Will Peru's presidential election be invalidated by July 31, 2026?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"elections",
"peru",
"2026",
"presidential-election",
"electoral-dispute"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 1,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 72148,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 43,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "official information from the government of Peru, including the JNE and TCP",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE)",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "Constitutional Court of Peru (Tribunal Constitucional del Perú, TCP)",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}