Will the Producer Price Index year-over-year change be positive for July 2026? [ resolves 2026-08-13 (9D) ]
polymarket: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 10 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ 5.1% | 2026-08-13 | 58.0% | $1.7K | $9.4K | A | 0xd949e2…b203 | ||
| ≥ 5.2% | 2026-08-13 | 18.0% | $3.1K | $34K | A | 0x480ee7…6d5e | ||
| ≥ 5.3% | 2026-08-13 | 8.3% | — | $842 | A | 0xe19cdb…fae7 | ||
| ≥ 5.4% | 2026-08-13 | 7.8% | — | $527 | A | 0x11d1ee…cb3f | ||
| ≥ 5.5% | 2026-08-13 | 0.9% | — | $537 | A | 0x0911b1…97be | ||
| ≥ 5.6% | 2026-08-13 | 1.0% | $5 | $256 | A | 0xbd0d6b…d53d | ||
| ≥ 5.7% | 2026-08-13 | 0.3% | — | $256 | A | 0x214c29…10b0 | ||
| ≥ 5.8% | 2026-08-13 | 1.0% | $5 | $296 | A | 0x1dde85…1bda | ||
| ≥ 5.9% | 2026-08-13 | 0.4% | — | $292 | A | 0xf2b9cf…247c | ||
| ≥ 6% | 2026-08-13 | 7.0% | — | $620 | A | 0xa58c27…c7b6 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | not provided | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on August 13, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
platform source field
polymarket.description → https://www.bls.gov/ppi/ recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/ppi-yoy-july-2026-20260715201412025/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/ppi-yoy-july-2026-20260715201412025 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("ppi-yoy-july-2026-20260715201412025") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-0HKCF0J169",
"slug": "ppi-yoy-july-2026-20260715201412025",
"question": "Will the Producer Price Index year-over-year change be positive for July 2026?",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"economy",
"inflation",
"ppi",
"us-economic-data",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 10,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 46699,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 93,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.bls.gov/ppi/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "bls.gov",
"url": "https://www.bls.gov/ppi/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "bls.gov",
"url": "https://www.bls.gov/schedule",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "BLS Producer Price Index report",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "official monthly BLS PPI news release",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}