Will there be a Pump.fun airdrop? [ resolves 2025-07 – 2027-01 ]
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026
polymarket: [C] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 8 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30 | 2025-07-01 | 100.0% | — | $53K | C | 0xe72c82…d444 | ||
| July 18 | 2025-07-19 | 100.0% | — | $289K | C | 0x5b6750…f42c | ||
| July 31 | 2025-08-01 | 100.0% | — | $1.07M | C | 0xb5f38d…7808 | ||
| August 31 | 2025-09-01 | 100.0% | — | $201K | C | 0xad2319…5ab2 | ||
| September 30 | 2025-10-01 | 100.0% | — | $109K | C | 0x2f17b4…b0d0 | ||
| December 31 | 2026-01-01 | 100.0% | — | $677K | C | 0x4a6260…48e8 | ||
| March 31 | 2026-04-01 | 0.1% | — | $196K | C | 0xef8394…ad7b | ||
| December 31, 2026 | 2027-01-01 | 23.0% | $3 | $157K | C | 0xd3a3c1…b312 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pump.fun launches a token and performs an airdrop by July 18, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from Pump.fun, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above sources (3)
- on-chain information from rules text · editorial
- official information from Pump.fun from rules text · editorial
- consensus of credible reporting from rules text · editorial
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| closed | Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by March 31? | polymarket | 2026-04-01 | — |
| closed | Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31? | polymarket | 2026-01-01 | — |
| closed | Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by September 30? | polymarket | 2025-10-01 | — |
| closed | Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by August 31? | polymarket | 2025-09-01 | — |
| closed | Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by July 31? | polymarket | 2025-08-01 | — |
| closed | Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by July 18? | polymarket | 2025-07-19 | — |
| closed | Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by June 30? | polymarket | 2025-07-01 | — |
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (7 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/pumpfun-airdop-by/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/pumpfun-airdop-by |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("pumpfun-airdop-by") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-F9ZR807B11",
"slug": "pumpfun-airdop-by",
"question": "Will there be a Pump.fun airdrop?",
"category": "crypto",
"tags": [
"crypto",
"pump-fun",
"airdrop",
"token-distribution",
"defi-governance",
"2025"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 8,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 2751247,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 59,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "on-chain information",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "official information from Pump.fun",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "consensus of credible reporting",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}