Will there be a record crypto liquidation in 2026? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (150D) ]
Record crypto liquidation in 2026?
polymarket: [B] reporting consensus methodology ›
markets · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 1 market
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record crypto liquidation in 2026 | 2027-01-01 | 5.5% | — | $70K | B | 0x8aea47…2f4a |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | not provided | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total crypto liquidations event exceeds the highest liquidation amount ever recorded ($19.16B) at any point in 2026, as tracked by CoinGlass. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source will be CoinGlass liquidation data (https://www.coinglass.com/LiquidationData), specifically the “Top 10 Crypto Liquidation Events of All Time.”
If CoinGlass data becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
platform source field
polymarket.description → https://www.coinglass.com/LiquidationData sources (3) · stated precedence rule
coinglass.com venue-listed CoinGlass committed source CoinGlass liquidation data (https://www.coinglass.com/LiquidationData) from rules text
recent wire items
- Record crypto liquidation event in 2026 stays under 10% on Polymarket Polymarket 8%
- Polymarket prices only an 8% chance of a record crypto liquidation event in 2026, despite the multi-billion-dollar long flush reported this week.
- The current liquidation wave is large but the market is not pricing it as a record-breaking event; Polymarket is not treating this week's action as disqualifying or qualifying at 8%.
- Bitcoin rebounded toward 82,800 dollars after the sell-off, with resistance near 84,400 dollars; the partial recovery tempers the case for a historic capitulation read.
- Resolution via UMA oracle on Polymarket; the precise definition of what constitutes a record liquidation event is the key settlement edge case.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/record-crypto-liquidation-in-2026/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/record-crypto-liquidation-in-2026 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("record-crypto-liquidation-in-2026") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-V55KP87122",
"slug": "record-crypto-liquidation-in-2026",
"question": "Will there be a record crypto liquidation in 2026?",
"category": "crypto",
"tags": [
"crypto",
"liquidation-events",
"market-extremes",
"on-chain-metrics",
"2027"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 1,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 70212,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
"rcg_score": 70,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.coinglass.com/LiquidationData",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "CoinGlass",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "coinglass.com",
"url": "https://www.coinglass.com/LiquidationData",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CoinGlass",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "CoinGlass liquidation data (https://www.coinglass.com/LiquidationData)",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}