Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make a decision in June? [ resolved 2026-06-16 ]
polymarket: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | not provided | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
platform source field
polymarket.description → https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html sources (3) · single authority
- rba.gov.au venue-listed
- Reserve Bank of Australia source of record from rules text · editorial
- https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html from rules text · editorial
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting? | polymarket | 2026-06-16 | 0% |
| NO | Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting? | polymarket | 2026-06-16 | 0% |
| YES | Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting? | polymarket | 2026-06-16 | 100% |
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (3 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/reserve-bank-of-australia-decision-in-june/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/reserve-bank-of-australia-decision-in-june |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("reserve-bank-of-australia-decision-in-june") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-25W001XW55",
"slug": "reserve-bank-of-australia-decision-in-june",
"question": "Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make a decision in June?",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"economic-policy",
"economy",
"central-banking",
"australia",
"monetary-policy"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 3,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 56062,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 93,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Reserve Bank of Australia",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "rba.gov.au",
"url": "https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Reserve Bank of Australia",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}