Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make a decision in June? [ resolves 2026-06-16 (13D) ]

Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?

polymarket: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›

markets · by resolution date

polymarket 3 markets

market	resolves	P(YES)	vol (24h)	vol (cum)	RCG	venue id
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash…	2026-06-16	98.2%	$466	$12K	A	`0x8644f9…555a`
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after…	2026-06-16	4.1%	$278	$12K	A	`0xd4719b…3c1e`
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after…	2026-06-16	0.2%	$191	$10K	A	`0xb80340…4aee`

resolution architecture

venue	proposer	source	citation	arbitration	class	analyst notes
polymarket	`Whitelisted Proposers`	rba.gov.au	link	`Optimistic Oracle (UMA)`	`Other`	—

verbatim rules

polymarket 3 markets · share this text

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.

platform source field polymarket.description → https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html

recent wire items

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CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTML	browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD `@type: Dataset`)	`https://clearmarket.fyi/events/reserve-bank-of-australia-decision-in-june/`
JSON	REST API for developers	`https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/reserve-bank-of-australia-decision-in-june.json`
MCP	agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)	`clearmarket.get_event("reserve-bank-of-australia-decision-in-june")`
AGENT	AI crawler discovery index	`/llms.txt`

 Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
  raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
 {
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-25W001XW55",
  "slug": "reserve-bank-of-australia-decision-in-june",
  "question": "Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make a decision in June?",
  "category": "economics",
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "economic-policy",
    "economy",
    "central-banking",
    "australia",
    "monetary-policy"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 3,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 34653,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 84,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "rba.gov.au",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html",
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}

snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →