Will the Reserve Bank of India make a decision in August? [ resolves 2026-08-05 (1D) ]
polymarket: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | not provided | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve according to the change in the policy repo rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee’s August meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of India after its meeting scheduled for August 5, 2026.
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy statement for their August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. The statement will be made available here: https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx. If no decision on the policy repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
platform source field
polymarket.description → https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx sources (3) · single authority
- rbi.org.in venue-listed
- Reserve Bank of India source of record from rules text · editorial
- Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/reserve-bank-of-india-decision-in-august-20260630194149522/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/reserve-bank-of-india-decision-in-august-20260630194149522 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("reserve-bank-of-india-decision-in-august-20260630194149522") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-VG0VTGX014",
"slug": "reserve-bank-of-india-decision-in-august-20260630194149522",
"question": "Will the Reserve Bank of India make a decision in August?",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"economy",
"economic-policy",
"india",
"central-banking",
"monetary-policy"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 3,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 25468,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 93,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Reserve Bank of India",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "rbi.org.in",
"url": "https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Reserve Bank of India",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}