Reya FDV one day after launch [ resolves 2027-01-01 (179D) ]
polymarket: [C] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by strike · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 6 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ $70,000,000 | 2027-01-01 | 52.0% | $13 | $13K | C | 0x5afab6…b4fe | ||
| ≥ $150,000,000 | 2027-01-01 | 28.0% | — | $75K | C | 0xe56b73…7bff | ||
| ≥ $200,000,000 | 2027-01-01 | 16.0% | $145 | $127K | C | 0x384e27…e1a4 | ||
| ≥ $300,000,000 | 2027-01-01 | 5.6% | — | $28K | C | 0xd6ef92…e331 | ||
| ≥ $400,000,000 | 2027-01-01 | 3.4% | — | $26K | C | 0xe3d6d7…973f | ||
| ≥ $1,000,000,000 | — | 0.5% | $404 | $162K | C | 0x61b69b…1e11 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Reya's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Reya (https://x.com/reya_xyz) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
platform source field
polymarket.description → https://x.com/reya_xyz sources (2)
- x.com venue-listed
- https://x.com/reya_xyz from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/reya-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/reya-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("reya-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-SLXCWLFCV6",
"slug": "reya-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch",
"question": "Reya FDV one day after launch",
"category": "crypto",
"tags": [
"crypto",
"fdv-valuation",
"launch-metrics",
"reya-protocol",
"price-discovery",
"token-economics"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 6,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 430442,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 41,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://x.com/reya_xyz",
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "x.com",
"url": "https://x.com/reya_xyz",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "https://x.com/reya_xyz",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}