CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,000 EVENTS / ~16,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will the Romanian parliament be dissolved by July 31? [ resolves 2026-06-30 (27D) ]

Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?

polymarket: [C] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
markets · by resolution date
polymarket 1 market
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31 2026-06-30 5.3%
$6 $62K
C 0x403a29…4e4b
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
polymarket Whitelisted Proposers uncommitted not provided Optimistic Oracle (UMA) Other
verbatim rules
polymarket 1 market · share this text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
platform source field polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/romanian-parliament-dissolved-by-july-31/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/romanian-parliament-dissolved-by-july-31.json
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("romanian-parliament-dissolved-by-july-31")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-XVC9MP2GB0",
  "slug": "romanian-parliament-dissolved-by-july-31",
  "question": "Will the Romanian parliament be dissolved by July 31?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "romania",
    "parliamentary-dissolution",
    "2026",
    "government-crisis",
    "eastern-europe"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 1,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 61968,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 56,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "uncommitted_placeholder"
  ],
  "resolution_source": null,
  "resolution_source_url": null,
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →