Will the CDU win the most seats in the Sachsen-Anhalt state parliament election? [ resolves 2026-09-06 (95D) ]
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, tie-break·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
polymarket 34 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections | 2026-09-06 | 90.0% | $641 | $25K | C | 0x3716ed…2d36 | ||
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections | 2026-09-06 | 6.7% | $396 | $471K | C | 0x24f73a…ff5c | ||
| Will BSW win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections | 2026-09-06 | 0.7% | — | $19K | C | 0x8e8bb7…3775 | ||
| Will The Left win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary… | 2026-09-06 | 0.2% | — | $35K | C | 0x8755c4…0e60 | ||
| Will FDP win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections | 2026-09-06 | 0.2% | — | $15K | C | 0xbde6c1…c00e | ||
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections | 2026-09-06 | 0.2% | $451 | $109K | C | 0x257846…878f | ||
| Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary… | 2026-09-06 | 0.1% | — | $39K | C | 0x9cc2e7…b7d7 | ||
| Will Party A win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary… | 2026-09-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x81b360…062d | ||
| Will Party J win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary… | 2026-09-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xd4fcdd…e8b6 | ||
| Will Party K win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary… | 2026-09-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x728f6d…8e23 | ||
| Will Party M win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary… | 2026-09-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xfca4cd…d9cf | ||
| Will Party S win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary… | 2026-09-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x343ce2…012e | ||
| Will Party B win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary… | 2026-09-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x45cdf7…6b37 | ||
| Will Party D win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary… | 2026-09-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xa509f7…d2c9 | ||
| Will Party E win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary… | 2026-09-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x454cb5…a0ac | ||
| Will Party F win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary… | 2026-09-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x789601…da75 | ||
| Will Party I win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary… | 2026-09-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x10ccf6…9172 | ||
| Will Party P win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary… | 2026-09-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x53fb90…9023 | ||
| Will Party Q win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary… | 2026-09-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xc827e9…3ef1 | ||
| Will Party N win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary… | 2026-09-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x306721…14b5 | ||
| Will Party X win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary… | 2026-09-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x757e4d…f255 | ||
| Will Party Z win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary… | 2026-09-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xd76564…2379 | ||
| Will Party C win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary… | 2026-09-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xe0b6d3…89a9 | ||
| Will Party G win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary… | 2026-09-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x22d796…1a06 | ||
| Will Party H win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary… | 2026-09-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xac3026…0a13 | ||
| Will Party L win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary… | 2026-09-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x9a58f1…f2de | ||
| Will Party O win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary… | 2026-09-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x9f45e2…3876 | ||
| Will Party R win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary… | 2026-09-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x1a6d10…1b03 | ||
| Will Party T win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary… | 2026-09-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xb69d9a…22cb | ||
| Will Party U win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary… | 2026-09-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x251722…6999 | ||
| Will Party V win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary… | 2026-09-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x925053…a51a | ||
| Will Party W win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary… | 2026-09-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x0d8f09…c74c | ||
| Will Party Y win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary… | 2026-09-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x8602b3…8c53 | ||
| Will another party win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary… | 2026-09-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xa6f5cd…8d32 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/sachsen-anhalt-parliamentary-election-winner/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/sachsen-anhalt-parliamentary-election-winner.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("sachsen-anhalt-parliamentary-election-winner") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-CDDSPT9KS5",
"slug": "sachsen-anhalt-parliamentary-election-winner",
"question": "Will the CDU win the most seats in the Sachsen-Anhalt state parliament election?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"elections",
"germany",
"sachsen-anhalt",
"2026",
"parliamentary-election"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 34,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 712586,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 76,
"rcg_caps": [
"uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/",
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}