CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~3,860 EVENTS / ~39,200 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will a new mayor be elected in Salzgitter by the 2026 mayoral election? [ resolves 2026-09-13 (40D) ]

polymarket: [C] multiple sources, tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 21 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Frank Klingebiel 2026-09-13 88.0%
$20 $6.8K
C 0x2f211e…58ed
Tobias Bey 2026-09-13 7.0%
$34 $1.8K
C 0x59345c…b655
Patricia Mair 2026-09-13 1.2%
$9 $3.8K
C 0x5ddda4…0890
Lars Tietjen 2026-09-13 1.0%
$405
C 0xc7511a…c104
Ercan Kilic 2026-09-13 0.5%
$537
C 0xe8c05d…39b0
Holger Dahms 2026-09-13 0.1%
$230
C 0x3e87e4…8b64
Another candidate 2026-09-13 0.0%
C 0x11bb6f…4931
Person A 2026-09-13 0.0%
C 0x84b19b…8d81
Person B 2026-09-13 0.0%
C 0x98872d…fc33
Person C 2026-09-13 0.0%
C 0xce93ad…5c3c
Person D 2026-09-13 0.0%
C 0x95a025…af86
Person E 2026-09-13 0.0%
C 0x9f4848…3911
Person F 2026-09-13 0.0%
C 0xdb7533…5d22
Person G 2026-09-13 0.0%
C 0x13316a…b72b
Person H 2026-09-13 0.0%
C 0x0b9837…53a8
Person I 2026-09-13 0.0%
C 0x971ce0…5314
Person J 2026-09-13 0.0%
C 0x2daa8d…26a5
Person K 2026-09-13 0.0%
C 0x7ca69b…5d3a
Person L 2026-09-13 0.0%
C 0xd7fcf4…fd7b
Person M 2026-09-13 0.0%
C 0xd0efe0…13e9
Person N 2026-09-13 0.0%
C 0xdb98a9…37a8
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
polymarket Whitelisted Proposers uncommitted not provided Optimistic Oracle (UMA) Other
verbatim rules
polymarket 21 markets · share this text
The next Salzgitter mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Salzgitter, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Salzgitter). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Salzgitter as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Salzgitter, including its election office and municipal election committee.
platform source field polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above
sources (2)
  • a consensus of credible reporting from rules text · editorial
  • official information from the Stadt Salzgitter, including its election office and municipal election committee from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/salzgitter-mayoral-election-winner-20260723163216446/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/salzgitter-mayoral-election-winner-20260723163216446
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("salzgitter-mayoral-election-winner-20260723163216446")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-WP3CSQNC43",
  "slug": "salzgitter-mayoral-election-winner-20260723163216446",
  "question": "Will a new mayor be elected in Salzgitter by the 2026 mayoral election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "germany",
    "local-government",
    "salzgitter",
    "2026"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 21,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 13547,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 62,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
  ],
  "resolution_source": null,
  "resolution_source_url": null,
  "source_status": "no_committed_source",
  "source_of_record": null,
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    {
      "name": "official information from the Stadt Salzgitter, including its election office and municipal election committee",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →