CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,450 EVENTS / ~20,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will Sinaloa Governor Rubén Rocha be extradited to the US in 2026? (multi-deadline series) [ resolved 2026-06-30 ]

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?

polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·objective outcome methodology ›
markets · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 2 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
May 15 2026-05-16 0.4%
$181K
C 0xc7570c…cc17
June 30 2026-06-30 0.0%
$138 $80K
C 0x603b54…eb49
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
polymarket Whitelisted Proposers uncommitted not provided Optimistic Oracle (UMA) Other
verbatim rules
polymarket 2 markets · share this text
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Rubén Rocha Moya is extradited to the United States between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Extradited to the United States” means Rocha Moya is physically transferred to U.S. government custody pursuant to an extradition process or equivalent custody transfer process. If Rocha Moya otherwise enters U.S. territory and is subsequently arrested or taken into U.S. government custody by the market’s end date, this will also qualify. An announcement that extradition has been requested, approved, ordered, or agreed to will not qualify unless Rocha Moya is physically transferred to, arrested by, or otherwise taken into U.S. government custody by the market’s end date. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Rubén Rocha Moya, the governments of Mexico and Sinaloa, the United States government, and relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
platform source field polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above
sources (5)
  • official information from Rubén Rocha Moya from rules text · editorial
  • the governments of Mexico and Sinaloa from rules text · editorial
  • the United States government from rules text · editorial
  • relevant courts from rules text · editorial
  • a consensus of credible reporting from rules text · editorial
resolution history
outcome market venue resolved final price
NO Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? polymarket 2026-06-30 0%
closed Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15? polymarket 2026-05-16
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (2 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
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programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/sinaloa-gov-ruben-rocha-extradited-to-us-by/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/sinaloa-gov-ruben-rocha-extradited-to-us-by
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("sinaloa-gov-ruben-rocha-extradited-to-us-by")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-GHYT29QKW0",
  "slug": "sinaloa-gov-ruben-rocha-extradited-to-us-by",
  "question": "Will Sinaloa Governor Rubén Rocha be extradited to the US in 2026? (multi-deadline series)",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "mexico-us-relations",
    "extradition",
    "sinaloa-cartel",
    "2026"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 2,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 260950,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 66,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
    "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
  ],
  "resolution_source": null,
  "resolution_source_url": null,
  "source_status": "no_committed_source",
  "source_of_record": null,
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "official information from Rubén Rocha Moya",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    {
      "name": "the governments of Mexico and Sinaloa",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    {
      "name": "the United States government",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    {
      "name": "relevant courts",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    {
      "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →