Will Solana's price be up or down between 8:00 PM and 12:00 AM ET on August 4? [ resolves 2026-08-05 (1D) ]
Solana Up or Down - August 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
polymarket: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
markets · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 1 market
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solana Up or Down - August 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | 2026-08-05 | 50.0% | $11K | $11K | C | 0x2d0a25…2630 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Solana price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down".
The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream SOL/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
platform source field
polymarket.description → https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd sources (4)
- https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd venue-listed
- data.chain.link venue-listed
- Chainlink from rules text · editorial
- SOL/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/sol-updown-4h-1785888000/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/sol-updown-4h-1785888000 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("sol-updown-4h-1785888000") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-4KXXNYD345",
"slug": "sol-updown-4h-1785888000",
"question": "Will Solana's price be up or down between 8:00 PM and 12:00 AM ET on August 4?",
"category": "crypto",
"tags": [
"crypto-prices",
"crypto",
"solana",
"price-movement",
"short-term-trading",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 1,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 11489,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 70,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": "https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd",
"resolution_source_url": "https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd",
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd",
"url": null,
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "data.chain.link",
"url": "https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Chainlink",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "SOL/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}