Will the South Carolina Republican Senate Primary be held by December 31, 2024? [ resolves 2026-06 – 2026-07 ]
Will Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
polymarket 21 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Thomas Murphy be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina | 2026-06-09 | 0.1% | — | $25K | C | 0x1988c0…6a5f | ||
| Will any other person be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina | 2026-06-09 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xb1166a…5666 | ||
| Will Player A be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina | 2026-06-09 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x97a835…0884 | ||
| Will Player B be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina | 2026-06-09 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xd3a98c…2d57 | ||
| Will Player C be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina | 2026-06-09 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x1b0dc4…980b | ||
| Will Player D be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina | 2026-06-09 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xf46704…d35e | ||
| Will Player E be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina | 2026-06-09 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x834359…56e5 | ||
| Will Player F be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina | 2026-06-09 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x9fe39e…b90d | ||
| Will Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina | 2026-07-31 | 98.5% | $86 | $69K | C | 0x921972…2746 | ||
| Will Mark Lynch be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina | 2026-07-31 | 1.5% | — | $16K | C | 0xa99c78…272c | ||
| Will Paul Dans be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina | 2026-07-31 | 1.2% | — | $51K | C | 0x627aac…748a | ||
| Will Player G be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina | 2026-07-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x856eeb…8280 | ||
| Will Player H be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina | 2026-07-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xb366b1…9d91 | ||
| Will Player I be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina | 2026-07-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x333313…2880 | ||
| Will Player J be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina | 2026-07-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x29a919…a08a | ||
| Will Player K be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina | 2026-07-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x60f8f7…6a38 | ||
| Will Player L be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina | 2026-07-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x67c4af…8a7c | ||
| Will Player M be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina | 2026-07-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x480856…667a | ||
| Will Player N be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina | 2026-07-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x23db0e…7c97 | ||
| Will Player O be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina | 2026-07-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x183250…9cd6 | ||
| Will Player Q be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina | 2026-07-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xe4366f…4f5a |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina.
If no 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/south-carolina-republican-senate-primary-winner/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/south-carolina-republican-senate-primary-winner.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("south-carolina-republican-senate-primary-winner") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-9RYZRTNZ76",
"slug": "south-carolina-republican-senate-primary-winner",
"question": "Will the South Carolina Republican Senate Primary be held by December 31, 2024?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"elections",
"politics",
"us-senate",
"south-carolina",
"republican-primary",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 21,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 161863,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 50,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}