Will a winner be declared in the South Carolina Senate election? [ resolves — ]
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 13 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Republicans | — | 80.0% | $105 | $51K | C | 0x1c017c…7b55 | ||
| The Democrats | — | 23.0% | — | $67K | C | 0x4de721…0430 | ||
| Person A | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xd8761b…feb8 | ||
| Person B | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xa0b74d…fd55 | ||
| Person C | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xde8864…9ce3 | ||
| Person D | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x97e752…52ce | ||
| Person E | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x0411c5…2768 | ||
| Person F | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x97c388…bfd1 | ||
| Person G | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x7d383c…2390 | ||
| Person H | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xd5f268…5bf3 | ||
| Person I | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x5fdb97…a769 | ||
| Person J | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x1cc540…dd28 | ||
| A candidate not listed above | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x92317b…b1ee |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | not provided | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ none returned sources (3) · quorum — multiple sources must agree
Associated Press from rules text Fox News from rules text NBC from rules text
recent wire items
- Republicans stay heavy favorites in SC Senate race 87% · $39K 24h
- Polymarket prices Republican win at 87%, reflecting a near-lock on the seat with limited upset risk.
- 24h volume of $39K represents 27% of all-time contract volume, a sharp single-day concentration.
- Fresh attention to a lopsided race often precedes a polling release or candidate development sharpening conviction.
- Contract resolves on 2026 South Carolina Senate election outcome.
- Buyers back Republicans heavily in the South Carolina Senate race 87% · $39K 24h
- At 87%, Polymarket prices a Republican hold in South Carolina's 2026 Senate race as a near-certainty.
- 24h volume of $39K represents 27% of all-time contract liquidity, indicating a meaningful fresh-money session.
- Renewed trading at high odds may reflect a candidate announcement, filing deadline, or Democratic challenger dropping out.
- Contract resolves on the 2026 South Carolina Senate race result.
- Democrats stay a long shot in the South Carolina Senate race 13% · $63K 24h
- Polymarket has Democrats at 13% in South Carolina, a heavy underdog reading in a reliably Republican state.
- $63K in 24h volume equals 29% of all-time, placing this among the contract's busiest sessions.
- Simultaneous spikes across multiple red-state Senate races point to a broader 2026 Senate-cycle repricing event.
- Resolves on 2026 South Carolina Senate general election result.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/south-carolina-senate-election-winner/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/south-carolina-senate-election-winner |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("south-carolina-senate-election-winner") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-44DJH0XML6",
"slug": "south-carolina-senate-election-winner",
"question": "Will a winner be declared in the South Carolina Senate election?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"elections",
"politics",
"south-carolina",
"us-senate",
"2026-election",
"partisan-outcome"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 13,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 117617,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 60,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Associated Press",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "Fox News",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "NBC",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}