Will the S&P 500 (SPX) hit a specific target by the end of June? [ resolved 2026-06-30 ]

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?

polymarket: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›

distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot

polymarket 17 markets

market	resolves	P(YES)	vol (24h)	vol (cum)	RCG	venue id
$6,700 (LOW)	2026-03-09	99.9%	—	—	C	`0xefca59…3df7`
$6,600 (LOW)	2026-03-19	99.9%	—	—	C	`0x9af06f…faa8`
$6,500 (LOW)	2026-03-20	99.9%	—	$1.5K	C	`0xa7eabe…73dc`
$7,050 (HIGH)	2026-04-16	99.9%	—	$17K	C	`0x69e5b6…2b14`
$7,150 (HIGH)	2026-04-24	99.9%	—	$20K	C	`0x3b504f…b389`
$7,300 (HIGH)	2026-05-06	99.9%	—	$22K	C	`0x2c9b7f…b5c5`
$7,450 (HIGH)	2026-05-13	99.9%	—	$20K	C	`0x148c2f…bc9f`
$7,600 (HIGH)	2026-06-01	99.9%	—	$9.0K	C	`0xb102a1…4b7c`
$7,700 (HIGH)	2026-06-30	0.0%	$1.8K	$29K	C	`0x0357f7…f68a`
$6,000 (LOW)	2026-06-30	0.0%	$725	$104K	C	`0x4da3a5…5166`
$8,000 (HIGH)	2026-06-30	0.0%	$853	$35K	C	`0x3c7136…773e`
$6,300 (LOW)	2026-06-30	0.0%	$512	$100K	C	`0x8ad674…ac73`
$7,850 (HIGH)	2026-06-30	0.0%	$580	$14K	C	`0x8bfb90…6186`
$7,100 (LOW)	2026-06-30	0.0%	$526	$16K	C	`0xce8a62…0483`
$6,900 (LOW)	2026-06-30	0.0%	—	$8.4K	C	`0x7a8080…259a`
$6,700 (LOW)	2026-06-30	0.0%	$3.3K	$18K	C	`0x1fa185…766e`
$6,500 (LOW)	2026-06-30	0.0%	—	$6.8K	C	`0x6d0de6…508a`

resolution architecture

venue	proposer	source	citation	arbitration	class	analyst notes
polymarket	`Whitelisted Proposers`	https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/	link	`Optimistic Oracle (UMA)`	`Other`	—

verbatim rules

polymarket 17 markets · share this text

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.

platform source field polymarket.description → https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/

sources (3)

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/ venue-listed
finance.yahoo.com venue-listed
Yahoo Finance source of record from rules text · editorial

resolution history

outcome	market	venue	resolved	final price
NO	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?	polymarket	`2026-06-30`	`0%`
NO	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	polymarket	`2026-06-30`	`0%`
NO	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?	polymarket	`2026-06-30`	`0%`
NO	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?	polymarket	`2026-06-30`	`0%`
NO	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,850 (HIGH) in June?	polymarket	`2026-06-30`	`0%`
NO	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June?	polymarket	`2026-06-30`	`0%`
NO	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June?	polymarket	`2026-06-30`	`0%`
NO	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,700 (LOW) in June?	polymarket	`2026-06-30`	`0%`
NO	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in June?	polymarket	`2026-06-30`	`0%`
closed	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,600 (HIGH) in June?	polymarket	`2026-06-01`	`—`
closed	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?	polymarket	`2026-05-13`	`—`
closed	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,300 (HIGH) in June?	polymarket	`2026-05-06`	`—`
closed	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June?	polymarket	`2026-04-24`	`—`
closed	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,050 (HIGH) in June?	polymarket	`2026-04-16`	`—`
closed	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in June?	polymarket	`2026-03-20`	`—`
closed	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,600 (LOW) in June?	polymarket	`2026-03-19`	`—`
closed	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,700 (LOW) in June?	polymarket	`2026-03-09`	`—`

Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (17 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.

recent wire items

monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTML	browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD `@type: Dataset`)	`https://clearmarket.fyi/events/spx-hit-jun-2026/`
JSON	REST API for developers	`https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/spx-hit-jun-2026`
MCP	agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)	`clearmarket.get_event("spx-hit-jun-2026")`
AGENT	AI crawler discovery index	`/llms.txt`

 Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
  raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
 {
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-DC7V7Y6TN3",
  "slug": "spx-hit-jun-2026",
  "question": "Will the S&P 500 (SPX) hit a specific target by the end of June?",
  "category": "financials",
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "sp-500",
    "equity-index",
    "price-target",
    "june-2026",
    "us-markets"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 17,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 420207,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 81,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "commitment_committed_secondhand"
  ],
  "resolution_source": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "Yahoo Finance",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "finance.yahoo.com",
      "url": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Yahoo Finance",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}

snapshot 2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →